76ers vs Raptors

Philadelphia had a two-game win streak snapped in last night’s 116-115 overtime loss in Toronto, while the Raptors halted a brief skid and have now taken three straight at home in this matchup, but with both teams still banged up I slightly prefer the 76ers on the moneyline at -154. Embiid and Paul George were held out on the first leg of the back-to-back for knee and groin management, whereas Toronto had to grind heavy minutes from Scottie Barnes plus short-handed contributions without Brandon Ingram, RJ Barrett and Jakob Poeltl, so the fresher star upside arguably tilts toward a Sixers bounce-back if even one of Embiid or George is cleared. Toronto has had success in this season series behind Barnes, Immanuel Quickley and Barrett earlier in the year, but Maxey has scored efficiently against the Raptors all season and Philadelphia’s 117-point scoring average with him driving the offense offers a higher ceiling than Toronto’s already-solid 114 points per game, a meaningful edge in a coin-flip style contest between teams jockeying for top-six positioning and head-to-head tiebreakers. I’d grade this moneyline play a B given the road juice and injury volatility but with solid upside if Sixers’ stars return. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 12/01/2026 08:31

Tyrese Maxey’s heater and Scottie Barnes’ aggressive scoring have already pushed this season series to totals of 250, 233 and 231 points (including last night’s overtime), and even with both teams missing key pieces they combined for 231 despite Toronto shooting just 5-for-32 from deep, which makes Over 221.5 at -110 the way to attack this rematch. Philadelphia is playing at a top-tier offensive level around Maxey, Embiid and a deep guard/wing rotation, averaging roughly 117 points per night, while Toronto’s ball-sharing attack with Barnes, Quickley and Ingram (when healthy) sits around 114 per game, so the baseline expectation before adjusting for defensive fatigue is already above this number. With both clubs on the second night of a back-to-back, legs usually go on defense before jumpers, and injuries to primary stoppers on each side (George, Poeltl and various Raptor wings cycling on and off the injury report) lessen the chance of a grind-it-out half-court game compared to another whistle-heavy, paint-focused contest like yesterday. Factor in playoff-race urgency for two teams fighting to stay above the play-in line and a series that has yet to play under this total, and Over 221.5 earns an A- grade for both likelihood and value. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 12/01/2026 08:31

Toronto’s core of Scottie Barnes, Immanuel Quickley and RJ Barrett has already helped the Raptors cover comfortably in both earlier wins in Philadelphia and then edge the 76ers by a single point in last night’s overtime thriller, so getting them as home underdogs at +2.5 (-105) is attractive even after accounting for each team’s recent streaks. The Raptors just survived a rough stretch of injuries to Barnes, Ingram, Barrett, Poeltl and even Ja’Kobe Walter yet still sit slightly ahead of Philadelphia in the standings, and their recent form—five wins in their last seven before the short-handed loss in Boston—suggests their depth can keep this close again, especially if the wing group gets even partially healthier. On the other side, Philadelphia had been rolling behind Maxey and role players like VJ Edgecombe and Andre Drummond but has dropped two of three to Toronto this season and still lists Embiid and George on the injury report, raising the risk that one or both miss again or play limited minutes in the second leg of the back-to-back. With the season series tight, every head-to-head result carrying extra weight for seeding, and three straight competitive games between these rosters, taking the home dog to stay within one possession (or win outright) grades out as a B+ spread play. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 12/01/2026 08:31