76ers vs Grizzlies
Can Philadelphia’s stars punish a battered Memphis rotation in Grind City?

76ers (16-14) VS Grizzlies (15-17)
December 30, 2025 | 8:00 PM ET | FedExForum, Memphis, TN


Philadelphia leans on Tyrese Maxey’s 30-plus scoring surge and Paul George’s veteran shot-making to snap a three-game skid against a Memphis team that’s just 6-4 in its last 10 and coming off a loss in Washington, with a roster gutted by injuries to key rotation pieces like Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, Brandon Clarke, Zach Edey and others. Joel Embiid’s ankle question mark creates some volatility, but his career production against the Grizzlies and this season’s 35-and-11 outing in Memphis underline how big the gap is when he’s even close to full strength, especially against a thin Grizzlies frontcourt leaning heavily on Jaren Jackson Jr. and Santi Aldama. With the 76ers already a solid 7-6 on the road and Memphis only 7-8 at home, laying -113 on the moneyline offers a reasonable blend of win probability and return, but the injury risk to Embiid caps this as a B-grade play rather than a slam dunk. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 30/12/2025 09:37am
Memphis has juiced its scoring lately at around 119 points per night, but the Grizzlies are now missing multiple perimeter threats and secondary creators, which forces more half-court reps through Ja Morant and Jaren Jackson Jr. against a Philadelphia defense that’s holding opponents near 111 points over its last 10 despite the 76ers’ own shooting slump. Philadelphia’s offense has been stuck closer to 110 points per game during this rough patch, and if Embiid is limited by his ankle or used more as a post hub than a transition engine, pace should slow further, especially with Memphis’ short bench cutting down on all-out run-and-gun stretches. With both teams’ season-long scoring and defensive numbers pointing slightly below 233 and the Grizzlies’ injuries likely to sap some efficiency, the Under 233 at -114 gets a B+ grade for a strong statistical lean, even at a juiced price. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 30/12/2025 09:37am
Joel Embiid’s uncertain ankle combined with Ja Morant’s historically solid numbers against the 76ers makes laying a road point trickier than the moneyline, but Philadelphia still owns the higher ceiling with Maxey carrying a 30-plus scoring load, George as a two-way wing anchor, and Embiid’s size advantage if he’s cleared and reasonably mobile. Memphis has been competitive, going 6-4 over its last 10, yet its one-game skid, thin frontcourt depth, and a long list of guards and wings on the shelf make it harder to fully leverage home court in a tight spread scenario, especially if the game slows into late-clock half-court possessions where Maxey’s creation has outperformed Morant’s efficiency this season. Since -1 at -107 essentially mirrors the moneyline with slightly better payout but more risk of getting burned by a one-point heartbreak, this profile fits as a B- play—worth a smaller stake if you’re already backing the Philadelphia side. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 30/12/2025 09:37am
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