NBA
76ers vs Pacers
Maxey’s surge and Indiana’s injury woes tilt the night toward Philly and a quieter box score.

Philadelphia 76ers
76ers (31-26) VS Pacers (15-43)
February 24, 2026 | 7:00 PM ET | Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN

Indiana Pacers

Moneyline Pick - Philadelphia 76ers (-450): A-
Philadelphia rides Tyrese Maxey’s breakout form into Indianapolis having just snapped a four-game skid with his 39-point eruption in Minnesota, while the Pacers have dropped three straight and sit buried near the bottom of the East. With Indiana missing franchise engine Tyrese Haliburton and likely still without Pascal Siakam plus several rotation pieces, they’re badly undermanned compared with a Sixers group that can lean on Maxey, Paul George and possibly Joel Embiid, who recently hung 39 on this same opponent. Maxey has consistently torched Indiana in recent seasons, and with Philadelphia needing every win to stay clear of the play-in line while the Pacers slide toward lottery positioning, the motivational gap is stark. I’m laying the steep juice and backing the 76ers moneyline at -450 with an A- grade, reflecting very high win probability but limited monetary upside. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 24/02/2026 09:40
Over/Under Pick - Under 233.5, (-110): B
Joel Embiid’s questionable status and the Pacers’ gutted offense nudge this matchup toward a lower-scoring script than their reputations suggest, especially with Indiana missing Haliburton, likely Siakam, and relying on backup playmakers to generate clean looks. Recent form has seen both teams involved in high totals, but with the Pacers’ shot creation compromised and the Sixers more likely to control tempo behind Maxey and veteran guards, extended scoring droughts from the home side are easier to envision than a full 48-minute track meet. Philadelphia’s playoff push also encourages a more deliberate, execution-heavy approach, while Indiana’s depleted rotation could struggle to crack 110 without an outlier shooting night, leaving room for a big Sixers performance yet still landing under the 233.5 number. I’m taking Under 233.5 at -110 with a B grade, supported by injuries and situational factors but mindful of variance if Philly’s shooters stay red hot. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 24/02/2026 09:40
Spread Pick - Philadelphia 76ers, -9.5 (-105): B+
Tyrese Maxey’s history of shredding Indiana, coupled with the Pacers’ current three-game slide and long injury list, sets up well for Philadelphia to clear a -9.5 number on the road. The Sixers just demonstrated in Minnesota that even without a fully healthy Embiid they can bury a weakened opponent behind Maxey’s on-ball creation, George’s two-way presence and a deep wing group that can hunt mismatches against Indiana’s second- and third-unit defenders. With Philly fighting to solidify playoff seeding and the Pacers effectively drifting toward draft position, the incentives point to the Sixers maintaining pressure for four quarters, while Indiana’s thin bench heightens the risk of a late collapse rather than a sustained backdoor push. I’m laying the -9.5 with the 76ers at -105 and grading it B+, given the matchup and motivation edges but acknowledging classic garbage-time risk on a number this large. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 24/02/2026 09:40
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