NHL

Flyers vs Hurricanes

Carolina’s home surge tests Philly’s breakout stars in a hostile Lenovo Center rematch.

Philadelphia Flyers

PHI (16-9-4) VS CAR (19-9-2)

December 14, 2025 | 5:00 PM ET | Lenovo Center, Raleigh, NC

Carolina Hurricanes
Moneyline Pick - Carolina Hurricanes (185): A-
The Hurricanes’ three-game heater and long-term dominance in this matchup collide with a Flyers group that has gone 0-0-2 in its last two but generally handled a tough homestand, making current form lean slightly toward Carolina despite Philadelphia’s respectable record. Key injuries tilt the edges further: Carolina is still patching its blue line without Jaccob Slavin and depth defender Charles-Alexis Legault, while Philly is down top finisher Tyson Foerster for 2–3 months and has already weathered long-term absences on the back end, thinning their ability to trade chances with a deep Canes forward group. Historical matchup data is brutal for the Flyers: Carolina is 15-1-0 against Philadelphia since late 2021, including last night’s 4-3 shootout win and a 5-0 road shutout in March that underscored how Aho, Seth Jarvis and Pyotr Kochetkov consistently drive results against this roster, all of whom are confirmed on the current active lists via ESPN’s team pages. With the venue shifting to Lenovo Center, Carolina’s top six fully intact, strong recent goaltending from Kochetkov, and the Flyers traveling after a six-game homestand, grabbing the Hurricanes at a generous 185 moneyline price is my preferred position, graded A- for combining a strong probability edge with clear mispriced underdog value. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 14/12/2025 09:27 Sources: ([nhl.com](https://www.nhl.com/hurricanes/news/preview-december-14-vs-philadelphia?utm_source=openai))
Over/Under Pick - Over 5.5, (-125): B
Both teams’ current streak profiles point toward offense here: Carolina has stacked three straight wins while averaging enough volume to claw back from deficits, and Philadelphia has at least earned points in back-to-back games despite coughing up late leads, with their last 10-game sample sitting at roughly 3.2 goals for and 2.7 against, while the Canes sit around 2.7 for and 2.3 against in the same span. Injuries matter on the defensive side more than up front tonight—Carolina’s loss of Slavin and Legault, plus earlier blue-line attrition, generally opens seams in their own zone, while the Flyers’ long-term absence of Foerster slightly dings their finishing but leaves high-end creators like Trevor Zegras, Matvei Michkov and Travis Konecny fully available. Historically, this matchup has tilted toward Carolina driving the scoreboard: the Canes hung a 5-0 shutout on Philly last March and just played to a 4-3 shootout last night, and their goaltending tandem (with Kochetkov in particular) has been good rather than completely suffocating, which fits an Over profile more than a grind-it-down 2-1 script. With both teams on the second leg of a back-to-back, fatigue on the back end, elite playmakers healthy on both sides, and recent head-to-head results regularly clearing five goals, I’m on Over 5.5 at -125, graded B due to respectable offensive indicators but some risk that hot goaltending turns this into a tighter goaltending duel than the numbers suggest. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 14/12/2025 09:27 Sources: ([espn.com](https://www.espn.com/nhl/preview/_/gameId/401802852?utm_source=openai))
Puckline Pick - Carolina Hurricanes, +1.5 (-110): B+
Given Carolina’s three-game winning streak and overwhelming long-run success in this series, you might normally gravitate toward laying the goal-and-a-half with the favorite, but the way these teams are trending makes Canes +1.5 a more appealing puckline angle in what profiles as another tight contest. On the injury front, Slavin and Legault remaining out for Carolina keeps their back end in a next-man-up state, which can produce occasional defensive lapses, while Philadelphia’s long-term loss of Foerster and previous surgery for Rasmus Ristolainen leave them a bit thinner in both finishing punch and proven defensive depth even though the rest of their core is active per ESPN’s roster pages. Head-to-head, the Canes have certainly produced blowouts like March’s 5-0 win, but last night’s 4-3 shootout and the Flyers’ recent run of close games (2-2-2 on the just-completed homestand) suggest a pattern of one-goal margins when Philly’s top guys—Zegras, Konecny, Michkov—are rolling, even against Carolina’s Aho-led attack and Kochetkov in net. With our lean already on the Hurricanes to win outright, taking Carolina +1.5 at -110 captures that edge while building in protection against a single-goal Flyers result, earning a B+ grade thanks to strong correlation with the matchup data and a high likelihood that whichever side wins does so by just one. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 14/12/2025 09:27 Sources: ([nhl.com](https://www.nhl.com/news/carolina-hurricanes-philadelphia-flyers-game-recap-december-13-2025?utm_source=openai))
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