Senators vs Devils

Tim Stutzle’s line powers a red-hot Ottawa group that comes into Newark on a four-game win streak and firmly in the Eastern playoff field, while New Jersey has only just stopped the bleeding with a single win after a choppy stretch and is already eliminated. Even with Brady Tkachuk listed as day-to-day and Nick Jensen on the shelf, the Senators still roll out a deeper top nine than the Devils can manage without injured wingers Stefan Noesen and Zack MacEwen, and their blue line of Chabot, Sanderson and Zub has generally handled New Jersey’s cycle. Linus Ullmark already stoned the Devils with 26 saves in a 4-1 win earlier this season, and Ottawa has taken most of the recent meetings in Newark despite Jack Hughes and Jesper Bratt driving possession. Laying a short road price at -133 isn’t a windfall, but between current form, the roster edge and motivation to fine-tune before the playoffs, I like Senators moneyline enough to grade it a B+ for solid win probability with reasonable, if not spectacular, value. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 12/04/2026 09:26

Ottawa’s recent scorelines — 6-3 over Carolina, 6-2 on Tampa Bay and 5-1 against Florida — underline how dangerous this offense is right now, and they’re walking into a building where the Devils have played high-event hockey, with home wins featuring four or more goals from a top six of Hughes, Bratt and Hischier. The Senators bring a top-tier power play into a matchup with one of the weaker penalty kills in the league, and their own PK has leaked chances all year, which suits a Devils man-advantage that already hung four on Ottawa in their December meeting and still has plenty of shooting talent on the flanks. With Ullmark facing a Devils tandem of Markstrom and Allen that has been solid but hardly airtight behind a defense willing to trade rushes, and with New Jersey in loose spoiler mode while Ottawa keeps its offensive rhythm tuned up for the postseason, this shapes up as another matchup where six goals is more of a median than a ceiling; I lean to Over 6 at -125 and grade it a B, as the game script supports a high total but the extra juice shaves a bit off the betting value. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 12/04/2026 09:26

Although I expect Ottawa to find a way to bank two points, the margin feels slimmer than the moneyline implies, which pushes me toward the home side on the puckline given how often these teams have played one-goal games, including the Devils’ 4-3 win in Ottawa and multiple tight Senators victories over the past two seasons. Even minus depth wingers like Noesen and MacEwen, New Jersey can still ice three lines that score, and if Tkachuk is limited or the Senators dial back minutes for key veterans now that their playoff ticket is punched, the five-on-five gap compresses quickly, especially with the Devils getting last change. Combine that with Ottawa’s merely average road profile, the Devils’ tendency to generate late pushes in this building, and the ever-present empty-net sweat when you’re laying goals with a road favorite, and taking New Jersey +1.5 at -225 looks like the more sensible side of the puckline; I’ll grade this B-, acknowledging the high likelihood of a close game but also that the steep price caps the upside. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 12/04/2026 09:26