Senators vs Kings

With Ottawa coming in on a 2-game win streak and a 3-1 run over its last four, while Los Angeles has followed its brief four-game surge with a 1-1-2 slide, the current moneyline feels a bit heavy toward the home side at -145 against a road dog priced at 122. The Kings are still dealing with the loss of Drew Doughty on the back end and have been poor at home (1-4-3 with just one win in their last nine at Crypto.com), whereas the Senators are navigating injuries to Brady Tkachuk and Thomas Chabot yet continue to get strong driving play from Tim Stutzle, Drake Batherson, Jake Sanderson, and a deep center group. Recent head-to-heads have been tight despite Los Angeles’ 8-2 edge in the last 10 meetings, including a 1-0 Kings win in Ottawa nine days ago and multiple one-goal or overtime results, and both active rosters still feature plenty of high-end talent such as Stutzle and Batherson for Ottawa against Adrian Kempe, Kevin Fiala, and Quinton Byfield for LA. With Ottawa’s offense trending better than LA’s low-event attack and the Kings’ home woes, I see enough edge in the underdog price to back the Senators on the moneyline at 122, a Grade B play that offers solid but not elite value—think a reasonable chance to cash combined with a worthwhile plus-money return. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 24/11/2025 09:37am

Both teams’ current runs point first toward a tight, low-scoring tone: Ottawa has allowed just 15 goals across its last seven games (5-1-1 stretch) and is on a 4-1 run to the under, while Los Angeles has dropped three straight with only five total goals scored in those losses, continuing a season-long pattern of leaning on structure and goaltending more than firepower. The Sens’ injury list, with Brady Tkachuk and Thomas Chabot still out, removes a primary net-front finisher and a top power-play quarterback, and the Kings are missing Doughty, which dings their breakout and first-unit power play but also tends to make them simplify and protect the middle of the ice even more. When these teams met in Ottawa just over a week ago they combined for only 35 shots in a 1-0 Kings win, and several recent matchups (including 3-2 and 4-3 OT finals) have been more about goaltending duels between Linus Ullmark and Darcy Kuemper than track meets, despite the occasional outlier shootout like last year’s 8-7 game. Given LA’s bottom-tier 2.7 goals per game, Ottawa’s improved defensive metrics on this road trip, and the shorthanded forward groups on both sides, I like Under 5.5 at -120 as an A- grade: you’re laying a bit of juice, but the combination of current trends, injury impact, and matchup history makes this one of the stronger percentage plays on the board. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 24/11/2025 09:37am

Given that Ottawa enters on a 2-game win streak and has been in essentially every game during its recent 5-1-1 stretch, while Los Angeles has stumbled to three straight tight losses after its four-game run, the profile of this matchup screams “one-goal game” more often than not, which makes the Senators at +1.5 an appealing way to lean into current form without having to fade the Kings outright. The Sens are still without Brady Tkachuk and Thomas Chabot, which caps some of their offensive ceiling, but their active core of Stutzle, Batherson, Shane Pinto, and Sanderson has been carrying play at five-on-five, and Ullmark has stabilized the back end; on the other side, LA’s offense remains thin beyond Kempe, Fiala, and Byfield, and the absence of Doughty removes a big transition piece and late-game empty-net threat that often turns one-goal leads into multi-goal covers. Historically this series has produced a cluster of single-goal games—1-0, 3-2, 4-3 OT, and 3-2 OT among the last ten—while the Kings’ 1-4-3 home mark and 1-8 skid in their last nine in this building underline how rarely they are putting teams away. At -210 the price is steep, but with a high probability that Ottawa keeps this within a goal even in defeat, I grade Senators +1.5 as a B+ puckline position: strong win likelihood with modest but reliable expected return for bettors who can stomach the juice. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 24/11/2025 09:37am