NHL
Senators vs Panthers
Surging Sens look to claw past injury-riddled champs in Sunrise.

Ottawa Senators
OTT (38-25-10) VS FLA (35-35-3)
March 31, 2026 | 7:00 PM ET | Amerant Bank Arena, Sunrise, Florida

Florida Panthers

Moneyline Pick - Ottawa Senators (-161): B
Ottawa rolls into Sunrise having won six of its last eight despite a modest two-game skid, while Florida has dropped five of its last seven and is riding a three-game losing streak, which is a tough backdrop for a team barely hanging in the Atlantic race. ([espn.com](https://www.espn.com/nhl/team/schedule/_/name/ott/ottawa-senators)) The Panthers are missing Aleksander Barkov for the rest of the season along with multiple key forwards in various states of injury (Sam Reinhart, Sam Bennett, Anton Lundell, Evan Rodrigues) plus depth on the blue line, whereas the Senators’ damage is concentrated on defense with Thomas Chabot, Jake Sanderson, Dennis Gilbert and Nick Jensen all sidelined. ([espn.com](https://www.espn.com/nhl/team/injuries/_/name/ott/ottawa-senators)) Florida has still taken the first two meetings this season (6-2 at home, 3-2 in Ottawa) behind big nights from Gustav Forsling and Aaron Ekblad, but with Barkov out and Ottawa’s top offensive core of Brady Tkachuk, Tim Stützle, Drake Batherson and Claude Giroux intact, the matchup now tilts toward the deeper, healthier forward group that also has more to gain in the Wild Card chase. ([espn.com](https://www.espn.com/nhl/team/schedule/_/name/fla/florida-panthers)) Laying -161 on the road is never cheap, especially with a banged-up defense, so this grades as a B rather than an A-level edge, but Ottawa’s form, urgency and opponent injuries justify backing the Senators on the moneyline. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 31/03/2026 09:27
Over/Under Pick - Over 6, (-106): B-
The total at 6 sits right on the knife-edge of how these teams have played: Florida’s last seven have produced several multi-goal losses during a 2-5 stretch, while Ottawa’s recent surge featured a run of high-event wins before their two-step back against Pittsburgh and Tampa Bay. ([espn.com](https://www.espn.com/nhl/team/schedule/_/name/ott/ottawa-senators)) The injuries point both ways for scoring—Ottawa is missing a huge chunk of its top four on defense (Chabot, Sanderson, Gilbert, Jensen), and Florida’s blue line is without Niko Mikkola and Uvis Balinskis, yet the Panthers’ forward group is also heavily depleted without Barkov and with Reinhart, Bennett, Lundell and Rodrigues all on the report. ([espn.com](https://www.espn.com/nhl/team/injuries/_/name/ott/ottawa-senators)) In the two prior meetings this season, we saw eight and five total goals (6-2 and 3-2 Florida), and the current matchup still features plenty of finishers—Matthew Tkachuk, Carter Verhaeghe and Forsling on one side, Tkachuk, Stützle and Batherson on the other—facing tired depth defenders and workhorse goaltenders Sergei Bobrovsky and Linus Ullmark near the end of a long season. ([espn.com](https://www.espn.com/nhl/team/schedule/_/name/fla/florida-panthers)) With push protection at exactly six and a decent chance of late-game scoring given the stakes for Ottawa’s playoff push and Florida’s desperation, Over 6 at -106 earns a B- as a slightly better-than-break-even look that still carries real variance if the injuries sap Florida’s offense too much. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 31/03/2026 09:27
Puckline Pick - Florida Panthers, +1.5 (-170): C+
Even while the Panthers have been sliding, they’ve generally stayed competitive, and they’ve already beaten Ottawa twice this season by four and one goal respectively, suggesting they match up structurally well even without their full top six. ([espn.com](https://www.espn.com/nhl/team/schedule/_/name/fla/florida-panthers)) Ottawa’s offense and current form make them rightful favorites, but the Senators’ blue line is patchwork without Chabot, Sanderson, Gilbert and Jensen, which raises the odds of defensive miscues and keeps the door open for Florida’s remaining drivers—Tkachuk, Verhaeghe, Ekblad and Forsling—to generate enough push to avoid a multi-goal defeat at home. ([espn.com](https://www.espn.com/nhl/team/injuries/_/name/ott/ottawa-senators)) Given that Ottawa’s playoff leverage might nudge Travis Green toward a more conservative third-period approach when leading, a one-goal Sens win is a very live outcome that favors the Panthers +1.5, though the steep -170 juice and Ottawa’s ability to run away if their top line gets rolling keep this at a C+ rather than a stronger play. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 31/03/2026 09:27
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