Ottawa vs Calgary

With Ottawa coming in 2-2-1 over its last five and Calgary mired in a three-game losing streak, the moneyline leans toward the deeper, hotter Senators despite the travel and the Saddledome crowd. Calgary’s slide has been driven by sputtering offense without Jonathan Huberdeau, leaving Nazem Kadri and Matt Coronato to shoulder most of the creation, while Ottawa can still roll out Tim Stutzle, Brady Tkachuk and Drake Batherson even with David Perron on injured reserve. The earlier meeting between these teams ended in a narrow Ottawa shootout win, keyed by Stutzle, Batherson and a late Jake Sanderson goal, and the underlying numbers still favor the Sens with their higher goals per game and more dangerous power play supporting Linus Ullmark in net. Calgary’s home record and Devin Cooley’s strong save percentage are enough to keep the grade below elite, but with the Flames’ current form and missing top-six playmaker, laying the chalk on Ottawa at -152 is a reasonable balance of win probability and price. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 05/03/2026 09:48

Both teams’ recent trends point slightly toward offense, with Ottawa’s last five games averaging close to six total goals and Calgary’s current three-game skid featuring a 6-1 loss to Dallas plus a shootout defeat that still generated chances despite the Flames’ scoring funk. Injuries to David Perron and Jonathan Huberdeau do pull some playmaking off the ice, but Ottawa still brings a top-end scoring core in Stutzle, Tkachuk and Batherson, while Calgary can counter with Kadri, Yegor Sharangovich and Coronato against a Senators team that allows its share of chances. The previous Senators–Flames meeting finished 4-3 via the shootout and showed how Ottawa’s power play and Calgary’s opportunistic shooters can combine to push a total toward this number, and the expected goaltending matchup of Ullmark versus Dustin Wolf or Cooley suggests competence but not a true goaltending duel. With a fair price at -106 on 6, the Over gets a slight nod, though Calgary’s inconsistent finishing and both clubs’ capable netminders keep this at a more cautious B- rather than a premium edge. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 05/03/2026 09:48

Ottawa may be the deserving favorite on current form, but the puckline picture looks different when you factor in Calgary’s 15-11-4 home record and the Senators entering their second game in Alberta in three nights after an overtime loss in Edmonton. The Flames’ three-game losing streak has featured competitive scores like a 3-2 shootout loss in Anaheim and a 2-0 setback in Los Angeles, suggesting they’re still keeping games within a goal even as wins slip away, and that profile matches the tight, 4-3 shootout defeat they suffered against Ottawa earlier this season. With Jonathan Huberdeau sidelined and depth winger Cullen Potter out, Calgary will likely lean on a grinding, lower-risk game in front of Devin Cooley or Dustin Wolf, while Ottawa’s own injury list, including David Perron and banged-up depth on the back end, slightly caps their blowout potential despite the scoring punch of Stutzle and Tkachuk. That combination of home-ice resilience, recent one-goal results and Ottawa’s road fatigue makes Calgary +1.5 at -186 a reasonable way to back a close game, even if the straight-up edge still sits with the Senators. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 05/03/2026 09:48