NBA

Magic vs Jazz

Star power leans Orlando, but Utah’s scoring cushion keeps things closer and higher-scoring than the market expects.

Orlando Magic

Magic (15-12) VS Jazz (10-16)

December 20, 2025 | 9:30 p.m. ET | Delta Center, Salt Lake City, UT

Utah Jazz
Moneyline Pick - Orlando Magic (-307): B
Paolo Banchero and the Magic arrive in Salt Lake on a two-game skid after high-scoring losses to the Knicks and Nuggets, while the Jazz sit at 10-16, having alternated wins and losses over their last four.([espn.com](https://www.espn.com/nba/team/_/name/orl/orlando-magic)) Orlando’s injury list is manageable with rotation pieces Jalen Suggs, Jonathan Isaac and Tristan da Silva all day-to-day, whereas Utah’s primary scorer Lauri Markkanen is also day-to-day after missing the Lakers game, a major swing factor for a team already leaning heavily on Keyonte George and a young supporting cast.([espn.com](https://www.espn.com/nba/team/_/name/orl/orlando-magic)) Historically, Banchero has feasted on Utah, averaging roughly 23 points, 7 boards and 4 assists in five career meetings and already owning a 30-point game-winner in Salt Lake City, while Markkanen has answered with about 22 points and 8 rebounds per game across his last five vs Orlando.([statmuse.com](https://www.statmuse.com/nba/ask/paolo-banchero-vs-utah-jazz-stats?utm_source=openai)) With Orlando’s defense grading significantly better (around a 112.7 defensive rating vs Utah’s 122.2, plus nearly identical but slightly more balanced offensive production) and a deeper top six built around Banchero, Franz Wagner, Desmond Bane and Wendell Carter Jr., I’m willing to eat the steep price and back the Magic moneyline at -307, but the juiced number caps this at a B in terms of combined win probability and value.([statmuse.com](https://www.statmuse.com/nba/ask/orlando-magic-defensive-rating-this-season?utm_source=openai)) Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 20/12/2025 09:51
Over/Under Pick - Over 240 (-111): B-
Utah’s offense, powered by Keyonte George and (when active) Lauri Markkanen, has turned the Jazz into pure fireworks lately, with their last four games finishing 143-135, 140-133, 130-126 and 131-101 as they’ve gone 2-2 in that stretch.([espn.com](https://www.espn.com/nba/team/_/name/utah/avgpoints)) Orlando, meanwhile, brings a 15-12 record and has seen its last two games land on 252 and 241 total points, while averaging about 118 points per night behind Banchero and Wagner, showing they can score with anyone when games open up.([espn.com](https://www.espn.com/nba/team/_/name/orl/orlando-magic)) Both teams have banged‑up but mostly offensive‑minded pieces (Suggs and Isaac for Orlando, Markkanen for Utah all listed day-to-day), and with the Magic’s improved but still merely solid defense (112.7 defensive rating) facing a Jazz group that owns one of the league’s worst defensive marks at around 122.2 and gives up nearly 120 points per game, the environment screams pace and offense.([espn.com](https://www.espn.com/nba/team/_/name/orl/orlando-magic)) Add in Banchero’s history of attacking Utah for efficient 20+ point nights and Markkanen’s own strong splits versus Orlando, and I’ll lean Over 240 at -111 with a B- grade given the very lofty number but clear offensive and matchup upside.([statmuse.com](https://www.statmuse.com/nba/ask/paolo-banchero-vs-utah-jazz-stats?utm_source=openai)) Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 20/12/2025 09:51
Spread Pick - Utah Jazz, +7.5 (-102): B-
Lauri Markkanen and the Jazz are catching a full 7.5 points at home despite Utah’s recent profile of playing contenders tight — including the 143-135 shootout loss to the Lakers and high-octane wins over Dallas and Memphis — while Orlando is just 5-7 on the road and riding that two-game losing streak out West.([espn.com](https://www.espn.com/nba/team/_/name/utah/avgpoints)) With Markkanen currently day-to-day and the Magic listing key defenders Jalen Suggs and Jonathan Isaac as day-to-day as well, both sides have lineup uncertainty that tends to favor the home underdog when a spread is stretched beyond two possessions.([espn.com](https://www.espn.com/nba/team/_/name/orl/orlando-magic)) Recent head-to-head history has also leaned competitive: Banchero has averaged about 23/7/4 against Utah and already stolen a one-possession game in this building, while Markkanen’s last handful of meetings with Orlando have produced roughly 22 points and 8 rebounds per night, suggesting star production on both sides more than a one-sided rout.([statmuse.com](https://www.statmuse.com/nba/ask/paolo-banchero-vs-utah-jazz-stats?utm_source=openai)) Given Utah’s explosive offense, bottom-tier but variance-friendly defense, and Orlando’s shakier road form even with its superior overall profile and depth, I slightly prefer taking Utah +7.5 (-102) and grade it a B- on the combination of cover likelihood and plus-money-ish pricing, while acknowledging that a late confirmation of Markkanen sitting would downgrade this edge.([statmuse.com](https://www.statmuse.com/nba/ask/what-is-the-utah-jazz-defensive-rating?utm_source=openai)) Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 20/12/2025 09:51
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