NBA

Orlando Magic vs Toronto Raptors

Toronto’s rising core looks ready to exploit a short-handed Magic.

Orlando Magic

Magic (18-14) VS Raptors (18-14)

December 29, 2025 | 7:30 PM ET | Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON

Toronto Raptors
Moneyline Pick - Toronto Raptors (+100): B
Scottie Barnes and the Raptors come into this one on a one-game win streak after his 23-25-10 triple-double against Golden State, while the Magic are also riding a single win following their wild 127-126 upset of Denver but sit just 5-5 over their last 10 and now travel north on short rest. Orlando’s injury report is loaded — Franz Wagner (who averaged 26.5 points against Toronto last season), Jalen Suggs and Moritz Wagner are all sidelined, with Goga Bitadze banged up as well — stripping a lot of scoring and defensive versatility from a rotation that still leans heavily on Paolo Banchero and Desmond Bane. Toronto, by contrast, is missing Jakob Poeltl and monitoring rookie Collin Murray-Boyles, but its main perimeter engines in Barnes, Brandon Ingram, Immanuel Quickley and RJ Barrett are intact and in rhythm after a December stretch that’s showcased their offensive ceiling. With both teams on identical short win streaks but the Raptors healthier where it matters most and backed by Scotiabank Arena, I like Toronto on the moneyline at +100 as a B-grade play that offers reasonable win probability with solid plus-money value. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 29/12/2025 09:45
Over/Under Pick - Over 222 (-110): B+
Orlando’s offense, even with key absences, is hovering around 117 points per game and just hung 127 on Denver, while Toronto is scoring roughly 114 a night and comes in on a one-game win streak featuring a 141-127 OT shootout over the Warriors and a recent 138-117 track meet in Washington, signaling that both clubs are playing in high-total environments. The Magic will likely be without Wagner and Suggs on the wing plus frontcourt depth, and the Raptors are missing rim protector Poeltl, so each defense loses important length and point-of-attack resistance even as elite creators like Banchero, Bane, Barnes, Ingram and Quickley remain on the floor — several of whom have already posted big lines against this specific opponent. Given that their combined scoring profile sits well above 222, recent pace and free-throw volume have both been elevated, and late-game foul and three-point variance should be live in what projects as a tight contest, I’m taking Over 222 (-110) with a B+ grade, expecting the offensive talent to outweigh the diminished defensive personnel. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 29/12/2025 09:45
Spread Pick - Toronto Raptors, +1.5 (-105): A-
Paolo Banchero and the Magic have been living in tight-game territory — several recent contests decided by two to five points — and arrive on a one-game win streak but down Wagner, Suggs and multiple rotation bigs, which leaves them thin on two-way wings and secondary creation as they hit the road. Toronto is also on a one-game run, yet its perimeter core of Barnes, Ingram, Quickley and Barrett is fully available, and this group has already anchored a nine-game winning streak earlier in the year plus Sunday’s OT statement over Golden State, showing it can close out high-leverage possessions even without Poeltl inside. Last season’s Orlando–Toronto meetings were decided by just a bucket, with Wagner and Banchero combining for over 50 points in each, hinting at another one- or two-possession script here, and the Magic’s roughly .500 road form doesn’t justify laying points against a Raptors team that’s quietly stabilized. With that combination of recent clutch form, home court and a history of razor-thin margins between these rosters, grabbing Toronto +1.5 (-105) earns an A- grade as the best mix of probability and protection against another coin-flip finish. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 29/12/2025 09:45
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