Thunder vs Trail Blazers

Oklahoma City rolls into Portland on an 11-game overall heater and five straight road wins, while the Blazers have only just steadied after dropping five of six in the last couple of weeks. With Isaiah Hartenstein sidelined by a calf strain and rookie big Thomas Sorber already lost for the season, the Thunder are still comfortably stacked thanks to Shai Gilgeous-Alexander’s recent 37-point demolition of Portland and Chet Holmgren’s steady production in this matchup. Portland, by contrast, is staggered by injuries to Damian Lillard, Scoot Henderson, Jrue Holiday and Matisse Thybulle, with Donovan Clingan merely questionable, leaving Jerami Grant to carry an undermanned group that has already been blown out 122-95 by this OKC core. Given the combination of form, depth and recent head-to-head dominance, Thunder moneyline is extremely likely to cash but priced so heavily that it earns only an A- grade for risk-reward. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 30/11/2025 09:45am

Jerami Grant and the Blazers are facing a juggernaut Thunder team that has already played them to totals of 240 in the early-season upset at Moda and just 217 in last week’s 122-95 OKC payback win, with Portland’s offense cratering when the game got away. Despite both offenses grading out above league average in efficiency, Oklahoma City now arrives on a long win streak while Portland’s guard rotation is decimated (Lillard, Henderson, Holiday, Thybulle and Blake Wesley all out) and Clingan potentially limited, all of which tends to flatten pace and shot quality when they’re forced into bigger, clumsier lineups. With Isaiah Hartenstein’s injury nudging OKC toward more switching lineups and Mark Daigneault already showing a willingness to ease off the gas in blowouts, another Thunder-controlled game that lands below an inflated 232.5 feels slightly more attractive than betting on a track meet, so the Under gets a B+ for combining reasonable edge with tolerable juice. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 30/11/2025 09:45am

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander just hung 37 on Portland in three quarters as the Thunder won by 27, and they’re now 19-1 with double-digit margins becoming routine, while the Blazers’ recent mini-surge still comes against the backdrop of a losing record and a guard rotation stripped by long-term injuries to Lillard, Henderson, Holiday and others. Even with Isaiah Hartenstein out, OKC has already shown in this matchup that Holmgren-plus-wings lineups can overwhelm Portland’s shaky ball-handling and force a barrage of live-ball turnovers, and Jerami Grant’s strong history versus the Thunder hasn’t been enough to keep these games close when the Blazers’ backcourt is this thin. Laying -12.5 on the road is never comfortable and leaves some backdoor risk if OKC eases off late, but the talent and health gap are wide enough that Thunder -12.5 grades out as a solid, if not elite, B-level play. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 30/11/2025 09:45am