MLB

Mets vs Cubs

Windy City duel with stakes—and value—on every pitch.

New York Mets

Mets (81-76) VS Cubs (88-69)

25 Sep 2025 | 7:40 p.m. ET | Wrigley Field, Chicago

Chicago Cubs
Moneyline Pick - Chicago Cubs (-105): B

Chicago enters this matchup in strong form, led by a rotation piece who has been one of the most consistent arms in the league over the past month. Their recent run of success is underpinned by balanced pitching and timely hitting, and with postseason positioning still on the line, the motivation remains high. New York, meanwhile, has stumbled of late and continues to operate without some key contributors, leaving their offense thinner than usual. Even with a strikeout-capable starter on the mound, the Mets’ vulnerability in both lineup depth and recent results tilts the prediction toward the Cubs as the more reliable side.

From a betting perspective, Chicago at near-even odds provides the sharper pick. Their combination of steady starting pitching and situational advantages at home makes them a strong candidate to extend their momentum. While New York has the talent to compete, the recent form gap and roster absences highlight the value in siding with the Cubs. For bettors looking for a play grounded in both matchup dynamics and current trajectory, backing Chicago carries appeal.

This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 09/25/2025 at 9:00am

Over/Under Pick - Over 7.5 (-115): B+

Both teams send strong starters to the mound, but the setup points more toward offense than the pitchers’ résumés might suggest. Chicago’s bullpen has been shaky in recent outings, opening the door for late scoring opportunities, while New York has consistently produced on the road since the All-Star break. Conditions at Wrigley add another layer, with a steady outbound breeze likely to aid fly balls. Combined with the fact that both lineups have delivered power in this matchup before, the prediction leans toward a game that surpasses the posted total despite the marquee arms involved.

From a betting perspective, the over is the pick that best matches the circumstances. While the starters may keep things quiet early, bullpen exposure and favorable hitting weather set the stage for momentum to shift quickly. With both sides capable of capitalizing on those conditions, it doesn’t take much for the scoreboard to climb. For bettors scanning the slate, this over offers an intriguing angle backed by trends and environmental context.

This prediction gets a B+ grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 09/25/2025 at 9:00am

Spread Pick - Chicago Cubs, +1.5 (-184): A-

Chicago has thrived in close contests all season, showing the ability to manage tight margins and finish on the right side of one-run outcomes. Their lineup health has improved at just the right time, providing depth options that can make a difference late. On the other side, New York has struggled in pressure moments away from home, failing to convert opportunities with runners in scoring position. With the Cubs still jockeying for postseason seeding, the overall profile points toward them staying competitive regardless of how deep the Mets’ starter can go, making the prediction lean toward Chicago holding the edge on the run line.

From a betting perspective, taking the Cubs with the run-and-a-half is the pick that provides a high-probability cushion. Even in a duel where New York’s starter performs well, Chicago’s knack for surviving in one-run games makes this angle appealing. While the juice may be heavier, the context of playoff motivation and late-game reliability justifies the investment. For those prioritizing safety, this run line bet fits the conditions cleanly.

This prediction gets a A- grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 09/25/2025 at 9:01am

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