NFL

Jets vs Jaguars

Jaguars eye double-digit win as battered Jets limp into Duval.

New York Jets

NYJ (3-10) VS JAX (9-4)

December 14, 2025 | 1:00 PM ET | EverBank Stadium, Jacksonville, FL

Jacksonville Jaguars
Moneyline Pick - Jacksonville Jaguars (-1000): A-
With Jacksonville surging and New York reeling, the Jaguars moneyline at -1000 is the clear side despite the steep price: Doug Pederson’s team has won four straight and five of six since its Week 8 bye, scoring at least 25 points in six consecutive games, while the Jets were knocked out of playoff contention at 3-10 after being run off the field 34-10 by Miami and enduring an 0-7 start. The quarterback situations underline the gap: Trevor Lawrence is practicing fully through an ankle issue and has nearly 3,000 passing yards with 23 total touchdowns, whereas the Jets are dealing with Justin Fields (knee) ruled out, Tyrod Taylor (groin) not practicing, and rookie Brady Cook still working back from an ankle injury after a rough relief outing, all behind an offense that ranks near the bottom of the league in yards and passing efficiency. Add in that Jacksonville owns a +8 turnover differential and a top-10 scoring defense, while New York sits at -15 with a bottom-tier scoring offense, and the Jaguars’ home-field edge at EverBank only further tilts the probability toward the favorite; the limited payout drags the value down a notch, but in terms of sheer win likelihood this is still one of the safer sides on the Week 15 board. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 12/12/2025 11:46.([jaguars.com](https://www.jaguars.com/news/k000510-where-to-watch-jets-vs-jaguars-week-15-of-2025-nfl-season?utm_source=openai))
Over/Under Pick - Under 41.5, (-110): B
The total sits at 41.5 with Jacksonville laying a massive number, and the matchup points slightly toward the under given how these offenses and injuries line up: the Jets are 29th in total offense, 32nd in passing, and just 25th in scoring, now likely turning to a banged-up Cook or an extremely limited Taylor behind a line that just surrendered six sacks, while feature back Breece Hall is nursing a knee issue after being held to 43 rushing yards and no catches in last week’s blowout; on the other side, the Jaguars are top-10 in scoring and have been automatic in the red zone lately, but they’re facing a Jets defense that’s still top-10 against the pass and far more vulnerable on the ground, which sets up a Travis Etienne–centric game script that can shorten the contest once Jacksonville gets in front. Jacksonville has been scoring in the high 20s to low 30s during its four-game win streak, yet with New York’s offense in disarray, multiple injured quarterbacks, and an historically turnover-prone profile, it’s easy to envision something in the neighborhood of 27-10 or 30-10 that lands below the number more often than not, especially if the Jaguars throttle down in the fourth quarter with a comfortable lead. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 12/12/2025 11:46.([foxsports.com](https://www.foxsports.com/articles/nfl/jaguars-can-reach-doubledigit-wins-for-the-second-time-since-2007-when-they-host-the-jets?utm_source=openai))
Spread Pick - Jacksonville Jaguars, -13.5 (-110): B
Against a spread of -13.5, Jacksonville still profiles as the side with enough ceiling to clear this big number: the Jaguars are 9-4 overall, 8-5 against the spread, and have covered in four of their last five while winning by 17 at Indianapolis and repeatedly closing games with multi-score margins, fueled by Lawrence’s efficient passing and Etienne attacking a Jets run defense ranked near the bottom of the league. New York, by contrast, has a -93 point differential, an offense that ranks 26th in points and 32nd in passing yards, and now must navigate a road game with Fields out, Taylor not practicing due to a groin injury, and Cook still inexperienced, all while Hall manages a knee injury against the league’s top-ranked run defense; that’s a brutal set of variables for a team already 3-10 and mathematically eliminated from postseason contention, facing a home favorite chasing a division title and its second double-digit win season since 2007. Jacksonville’s recent head-to-head history and home form – including last week’s 36-19 domination of the Colts and a 9-8 all-time edge versus the Jets – suggest this can get away from New York if turnovers pile up again, making a two-touchdown win a realistic expectation even with some backdoor risk that keeps this from a top-tier grade. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 12/12/2025 11:46.([foxsports.com](https://www.foxsports.com/articles/nfl/jaguars-can-reach-doubledigit-wins-for-the-second-time-since-2007-when-they-host-the-jets?utm_source=openai))
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