NFL

Giants vs Saints

Two desperate teams, one dome, profits on the line.

New York Giants

NYG (1-3) VS NO (0-4)

Oct 5, 2025 | 12:00 PM ET | Caesars Superdome, New Orleans

New Orleans Saints
Moneyline Pick - New York Giants (+105): Grade B

New York enters this matchup with tangible advantages in both form and matchup fit. The Giants’ defensive front has consistently created pressure on Derek Carr, and that disruption has directly translated into limited scoring for New Orleans across recent meetings. Offensively, the Giants appear rejuvenated with their lead back regaining burst, allowing them to sustain drives and balance their attack. Meanwhile, the Saints continue to struggle with rhythm and red-zone execution, issues that have kept them from converting yardage into points. With no weather to influence play inside the dome, the edge tilts toward the team with more functional offense and defensive momentum. This prediction leans on pass-rush effectiveness, offensive balance, and situational advantage.

From a betting standpoint, the pick favors New York on the moneyline, offering solid value at a modest plus price. The Giants’ defensive matchup and quarterback familiarity with this scheme provide confidence in an outright result, even as road underdogs. Given the Saints’ ongoing scoring struggles, the probability edge sits firmly with the visitors.

This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 10/04/2025 at 9:00am

Over/Under Pick - Under 42 (-110): Grade B-

Both teams profile for a grind-it-out affair rather than an offensive showcase. Each offense has struggled to finish drives inside the 20, and their conservative play-calling tendencies point toward prolonged possessions with limited explosive plays. The Giants’ defense has quietly tightened, consistently keeping opponents under three touchdowns, while the Saints’ offense continues to labor despite solid field position. Even in dome conditions, the matchup leans toward methodical drives that chew clock instead of producing quick strikes. With neither quarterback pushing the ball downfield effectively, sustained scoring spurts look unlikely. This prediction leans on efficiency struggles, defensive discipline, and tempo control.

From a betting perspective, the pick favors the Under, as both statistical trends and stylistic indicators point toward a total landing below the number. A projected mid-30s or low-40s combined score fits both teams’ current form and game-planning approach. Expect a slow-paced contest decided by field goals rather than fireworks.

This prediction gets a B- grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 10/04/2025 at 9:00am

Spread Pick - New York Giants +1.5 (-110): Grade B+

New York’s defensive makeup and recent betting form make the small cushion appealing in what’s likely to be a close, low-scoring game. The Giants’ pass rush has been consistent and should pressure a Saints offensive line that’s struggled with both hurries and blitz pickup, forcing Derek Carr into quicker, less effective reads. Offensively, New York doesn’t need fireworks—just steady ball control to stay within striking distance. Given how the Saints have failed to cover spreads recently and their ongoing offensive inconsistency, the matchup tilts toward a tight finish that rewards taking the points. This prediction leans on defensive disruption, situational trends, and spread performance.

From a betting perspective, the pick favors New York +1.5, offering extra protection in what profiles as a one-possession contest. With the Giants’ proven ability to compete as road underdogs and the Saints’ ATS struggles, the added cushion provides sound value. It’s a modest but calculated play on form and matchup logic.

This prediction gets a B+ grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 10/04/2025 at 9:00am

Share this post

Get the best odds on this prediction

Use our Live Odds Tool to get the best price on your favourite picks