NHL

Canadiens vs Flames

Habs heat up, Flames still smolder.

Montreal Canadiens

MTL (4-2-0) VS CGY (1-5-0)

Oct 22, 2025 | 7:30 PM ET | Scotiabank Saddledome, Calgary AB

Calgary Flames
Moneyline Pick - Montreal Canadiens (-125): Grade B

Montreal enters this matchup with balanced momentum, finding offense from multiple lines while maintaining structure despite key injuries on defense. The Canadiens’ puck movement and shot volume have remained consistent, and their goaltending tandem continues to provide stability during tight stretches. Calgary, meanwhile, has struggled to generate sustained offense or limit chances, with defensive lapses and low conversion rates undermining competitive efforts. The contrast in energy and execution favors a Montreal group playing confidently in all three zones, supported by improved special-teams play and disciplined neutral-zone coverage.

From a betting standpoint, the home side’s steadier form and deeper roster make this moneyline a sensible target at modest juice. Calgary’s offensive drought and ongoing lineup shuffles leave little support for a breakthrough, while Montreal’s structure and netminding create a strong floor. It’s a pick grounded in form, consistency, and goaltending reliability—worth backing given the trajectory of both clubs.

This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 10/22/2025 at 9:00am

Over/Under Pick - Over 6, (100): Grade B-

Both teams enter this matchup trending toward high-event hockey, with Montreal’s up-tempo offense colliding with Calgary’s defensive instability. The Canadiens’ transition game has consistently generated odd-man rushes and drawn penalties, fueling one of the NHL’s more opportunistic power plays. Calgary, meanwhile, continues to bleed chances but could chip in offensively thanks to an improving man advantage and the return of additional scoring depth. With both goaltenders facing heavy workloads and defenses prone to turnovers, the ingredients align for sustained scoring opportunities at both ends.

From a betting perspective, the Over looks justified by statistical context and game flow. Montreal’s pace and Calgary’s penalty-prone tendencies create multiple scoring pathways, and each side’s goaltending uncertainty adds volatility to the total. Even if the Flames struggle to keep pace, their special teams are capable of contributing enough to push the number over. It’s a well-reasoned pick built on matchup tempo and defensive form.

This prediction gets a B- grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 10/22/2025 at 9:10am

Puckline Pick - Montreal Canadiens, -1.5 (+205): Grade B-

Montreal’s ability to close games decisively has been a defining early-season trend, with late insurance goals and confident special-teams play turning tight contests into multi-goal results. The Canadiens’ offensive rhythm thrives once they gain a lead, using sustained pressure and quick puck recovery to compound opponents’ mistakes. Calgary’s defensive structure has faltered under duress, and its penalty kill remains one of the weakest in the league—a poor fit against a Montreal power play generating consistent zone time. Add in the visitors’ scoring depth and the Flames’ thin bottom-six, and the matchup tilts sharply toward a scenario where momentum snowballs after the opening goal.

From a betting standpoint, the plus-money puckline carries legitimate upside. Montreal’s combination of finishing ability, aggressive forecheck, and late-game execution gives them multiple avenues to cover, particularly against a team prone to trailing entering the third period. The statistical and situational trends align neatly, making this underdog puckline one of the sharper value angles on the board.

This prediction gets a B- grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 10/22/2025 at 9:11am

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