NHL

Canadiens vs Blue Jackets

Expect Ohio ice to tilt Union Blue way tonight.

Montreal Canadiens

MTL (10-6-2) VS CBJ (9-7-2)

Nov 17 2025 | 7:30 PM ET | Nationwide Arena, Columbus OH

Columbus Blue Jackets
Moneyline Pick - Columbus Blue Jackets (-125): B

Columbus returns home with steadier five-on-five metrics and a more complete forward rotation than a visiting side still working through multiple lineup absences. Even without full center depth, the Jackets have leaned on broader scoring balance and improved defensive spacing to control recent game flow, while their goaltending tandem has provided enough stability to support a structured approach. Montreal’s attack has cooled across its past few outings, and the loss of several key contributors has limited its ability to create sustained pressure or capitalize on special-teams chances. Given the possession edge, home-ice comfort and matchup profile, this prediction identifies Columbus as the sharper pick for a modest-priced bet.

From a more casual angle, this matchup simply feels like a spot where the healthier, deeper roster has the advantage. Columbus rolls into this one playing a cleaner brand of hockey, with its overall pace and transition rhythm looking more reliable than what Montreal has shown lately. The visitors can still hang around with strong effort, but the lack of scoring depth makes it harder to trade chances for a full sixty. Leaning on the home side fits how both teams are trending and keeps the original call intact without stretching for unnecessary risk.

This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

Over/Under Pick - Under 6 (-104): B+

Columbus enters this matchup leaning on a stronger defensive rhythm, having tightened its structure over the past several games and limited opponents to minimal quality looks at five-on-five. Their recent special-teams form has been similarly sharp, with disciplined rotations and efficient clears reducing high-danger chances against. Montreal arrives in a far more constrained offensive state, operating with a shortened forward group and relying on simplified entries that have produced only modest returns. When combining the home side’s steadier coverage patterns with the visitors’ reduced creation, the overall flow points toward a low-event script. Those broader trends make an Under prediction the more stable pick, especially for a bet built around defensive consistency and controlled pace.

From a conversational angle, this matchup simply has the feel of a grind. Columbus has shown a clear commitment to slowing neutral-zone speed and forcing opponents into predictable, perimeter-heavy possessions, while Montreal’s recent outings suggest limited ability to break through layered defensive looks. Neither side has flashed the kind of transition surge that typically drives Overs, and with both benches relying heavily on structure rather than risk, extended stretches of clock-draining shifts become more likely than sudden scoring spikes. Re-using the Under prediction matches how these teams are currently trending and offers a more comfortable pick given the matchup’s profile.

This prediction gets a B+ plus grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

Puckline Pick - Columbus Blue Jackets, -1.5 (-190): C+

Columbus brings a stronger overall profile into this matchup, leaning on improved possession play, steadier defensive structure and an attacking style that can stretch an undermanned opponent. Recent form has shown the Jackets generating consistent pressure from multiple lines, supported by an active blue line that jumps into the play and creates secondary scoring. Montreal’s thinned rotation limits its ability to counter those surges, particularly when forced into prolonged defensive shifts or when chasing a deficit. That dynamic shapes this prediction, as the home side’s ability to tilt the ice for long stretches makes an aggressive pick plausible, even if the risk curve runs higher than usual for this type of bet.

From a more relaxed perspective, the matchup still feels like one where Columbus can build separation if it controls pace early. Montreal’s reshuffled lineup has struggled to sustain zone time, and extended defensive-zone minutes often lead to breakdowns that stronger forechecking teams can exploit. Columbus’ transition rhythm and blue-line activity offer paths to quick scoring runs, and while a multi-goal outcome isn’t guaranteed, the situational setup keeps the possibility firmly on the table. That makes sticking with the original prediction reasonable, provided bettors accept the volatility that comes with targeting a wider margin.

This prediction gets a C+ grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

Share this post

Get the best odds on this prediction

Use our Live Odds Tool to get the best price on your favourite picks