Timberwolves vs Kings

Minnesota’s core of Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle, and Rudy Gobert rolls into Sacramento having won eight of its last eleven despite a gut-punch collapse against Phoenix, while the Kings sit at 4-13 and were mired in a seven-game losing streak earlier this week. With Domantas Sabonis sidelined by a partial meniscus tear and only depth bigs like Dylan Cardwell and Maxime Raynaud available, Sacramento’s already brutal -12.4 point differential and major rebounding deficit are even tougher to overcome against a Wolves front line that has already steamrolled them twice this month by 27 and 14 points. Edwards has historically shredded the Kings for roughly 25 points per game, and Sacramento has managed just two wins in 14 tries as a moneyline underdog this season, making Minnesota extremely likely to take care of business even if the -420 price trims the upside. Grade: B+ — high win probability with limited but still usable parlay or anchor value. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 24/11/2025 10:06am

Sacramento’s leaky defense and shaky offense create a tempting narrative for a shootout, but when you dig into the numbers, the Under looks slightly stronger at this inflated 238 total: the Kings average about 112 scored and 124 allowed per game, while Minnesota is around 121 for and 114 against, combining to something in the mid-230s rather than the high-230s. With Sabonis, their offensive hub and best rebounder, out, Sacramento’s half-court efficiency and second-chance production figure to dip, and Minnesota’s top-10 profile in both offensive field-goal percentage and opponent field-goal percentage suggests they can control tempo and force enough empty trips to keep this from turning into a pure track meet. The first two meetings landed at 261 and 234 total points, but given the current injury context, the Wolves’ size advantage on the glass, and slightly higher stakes as Minnesota looks to stabilize after the Suns loss, a modestly lower-scoring game is more attractive than betting on another extreme outlier. Grade: B — solid edge based on averages and injury impact, but variance in three-point shooting keeps it from elite status. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 24/11/2025 10:06am

Rudy Gobert and Julius Randle give Minnesota a massive physical edge against a Kings team that ranks near the bottom of the league in rebounding, gets out-boarded by more than six per night, and has already been bullied twice by this same Wolves frontcourt in November. Even before Sabonis’ knee injury, Sacramento was struggling to stay competitive, piling up multiple double-digit losses during a long skid, and now they must lean even more on perimeter scorers like Zach LaVine and DeMar DeRozan against a defense anchored by Gobert with switchable wings such as Jaden McDaniels and Donte DiVincenzo. Minnesota has covered comfortably in both previous meetings (wins by 27 and 14), owns the clearly superior roster based on current ESPN depth charts, and faces a Kings squad that is just 6-11 ATS overall despite a decent 4-2 mark catching nine or more, so the combination of matchup dominance and Sacramento’s -12.4 point differential makes laying the nine on the road attractive. Grade: A- — strong blend of high cover probability and reasonable price, with backdoor risk and road variance the only real concerns. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 24/11/2025 10:06am