NBA

Timberwolves vs Thunder

Thunder aim to remind Minnesota that last spring’s West finals were no fluke.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Timberwolves (10-7) VS Thunder (17-1)

November 26, 2025 | 7:30 PM ET | Paycom Center, Oklahoma City, OK

Oklahoma City Thunder
Moneyline Pick - Oklahoma City Thunder (-355): A-

Oklahoma City’s 17-1 start, nine-game win streak and 8-0 dominance at Paycom Center set the tone against a Timberwolves group that has dropped two straight in painful late-game collapses. With current ESPN rosters confirming Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren and Isaiah Hartenstein all active, the Thunder’s core remains intact even as they navigate absences for Jalen Williams, Kenrich Williams, Aaron Wiggins and long-term injuries to Nikola Topic and Thomas Sorber. Minnesota counters with a healthy Anthony Edwards back from his October hamstring scare, plus Julius Randle and Rudy Gobert anchoring a big, physical frontline, but this matchup has recently tilted OKC’s way—most notably in the 2025 Western Conference finals, when the Thunder took the series 4–1 and won both home games by 20-plus. Given Oklahoma City’s massive early-season point differential, elite form and demonstrated stylistic edge, the moneyline price is steep yet still warrants an A- grade for reliability, especially as a parlay anchor rather than a solo wager. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 26/11/2025 09:48am

Over/Under Pick - Under 227, (-110): B

Anthony Edwards and Julius Randle can absolutely fill it up, but Minnesota’s recent losses to Phoenix and Sacramento featured slow, half-court possessions and late-game execution issues rather than track meets, a pattern that naturally suppresses totals. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and the Thunder are steamrolling teams, yet their nine-game win streak has included methodical blowouts like the 122-95 win over Portland where OKC’s defense throttled the Blazers before garbage-time lineups bled clock. When these rosters met in Oklahoma City during the 2025 West finals, the Thunder repeatedly forced the Wolves into midrange jumpers, holding them to 88 and 94 points in Games 1 and 5 and showing how this matchup can bog down into a defensively tilted chess match. With both teams still shy of the 41-game mark where playoff-race urgency tends to crank pace and minutes, the Under 227 at -110 earns a B grade—leaning on both defenses, OKC’s comfort playing from ahead, and the risk of a lopsided score flattening the fourth-quarter tempo. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 26/11/2025 09:48am

Spread Pick - Oklahoma City Thunder, -8.5 (-110): B+

Minnesota’s current two-game skid—both blown late leads—raises real concerns about their crunch-time composure as they walk back into an arena where they were blasted by 26 and 30 points in last spring’s Western Conference finals. Oklahoma City, confirmed by ESPN rosters to be rolling out an active core of Gilgeous-Alexander, Holmgren, Hartenstein and a deep guard/wing group including Luguentz Dort, Alex Caruso and Isaiah Joe, has translated that talent into an NBA-best record with an average winning margin north of 20 points during their nine-game surge. Even with Jalen Williams, Kenrich Williams and Aaron Wiggins recently on the shelf, the Thunder have shown they can overwhelm the Wolves’ Randle–Gobert–Edwards trio by spreading the floor, attacking mismatches and turning defense into early-offense runs that snowball quickly. With Oklahoma City 8-0 at home and Minnesota still searching for late-game answers well before the midseason playoff push, laying the -8.5 at -110 gets a B+ grade, banking on the Thunder’s combination of matchup history, current form and blowout potential to clear this number. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 26/11/2025 09:48am

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