Timberwolves vs Warriors

Anthony Edwards and the Timberwolves arrive having won five of their last six despite Monday’s tight loss to Phoenix, while the Warriors enter on a two-game win streak but still without Draymond Green and Al Horford and only just getting Stephen Curry back from a quad strain. Minnesota’s offense has been humming around 120 points per night behind Edwards, Julius Randle and strong bench scoring from Naz Reid, and their length with Rudy Gobert and Jaden McDaniels is well-positioned to punish Golden State’s depleted interior over 48 minutes. Curry has torched the Wolves with multiple 30-point games in recent seasons, which adds downside risk if Edwards’ sore right foot limits him and Mike Conley’s absence shrinks Minnesota’s ball-handling, but at +135 the combination of recent form, size advantage and deeper healthy rotation (relative to the Warriors’ missing frontcourt anchors) makes the Wolves moneyline a value-friendly B-grade play. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 12/12/2025 09:51

Stephen Curry’s return to a Warriors team already averaging in the mid-110s, paired with a Minnesota group scoring close to 120 per game, sets up a matchup where both offenses can lean into early-clock threes and spread pick-and-roll rather than grind in the half court. With Mike Conley out, the Wolves skew even more toward Edwards and Randle as downhill creators, while Golden State’s lack of Green and Horford tends to push Steve Kerr into smaller, offense-first lineups featuring Curry, Brandin Podziemski and Jimmy Butler that trade some defensive cohesion for pace and shooting. Minnesota’s improved guard and wing defense with Jaylen Clark has kept most opposing guards under 30, which introduces some volatility if Curry needs time to ramp up, but the combination of top-heavy star scoring, thinned frontcourt defenses on both sides and a total sitting only a few points above their combined season scoring profile nudges this toward Over 229.5 at -110 as a C+ grade play. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 12/12/2025 09:51

Golden State’s banged-up frontcourt still has to contend with Rudy Gobert, Julius Randle and Naz Reid on the glass, and without Green and Horford the Warriors have leaned more on smaller groups around Curry, Podziemski and Butler that can score but are vulnerable to Minnesota’s size and offensive rebounding. The Wolves recently stacked wins over New Orleans, Boston and the Clippers before that one-possession loss to Phoenix, showing their defense travels and their depth pieces like Donte DiVincenzo, McDaniels and Clark can maintain pressure even if Edwards’ sore foot keeps him from carrying the full usage load. Given Golden State’s modest +0.0-ish scoring margin and reliance on Curry’s shot-making against a defense that has allowed only a handful of guards to crack 30 this year, grabbing Minnesota at +3.5 with their superior rim protection and multi-positional length offers a solid cushion in what profiles as a tight contest, making Timberwolves +3.5 (-110) a B+ play against the spread. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 12/12/2025 09:51