Vikings vs Cowboys

The current form edge leans Dallas, with the Cowboys coming off two home wins before their shootout loss in Detroit, while Minnesota’s dominant Week 14 bounce-back followed back-to-back blowout road defeats, highlighting how volatile the Vikings remain away from home. Significant injuries tilt this matchup further: Minnesota’s offense is managing issues for Christian Darrisaw, T.J. Hockenson, Jordan Addison and Aaron Jones, while Dallas expects CeeDee Lamb back from concussion protocol but may be without Jake Ferguson and starting tackle Tyler Guyton, plus several key defenders are banged up.([vikings.com](https://www.vikings.com/news/dallas-cowboys-injury-report-week-15-2025?utm_source=openai)) On a neutral field this might be closer, but an indoor setting at AT&T Stadium removes weather from the equation and accentuates the gap between Dak Prescott’s league-leading passing production and a Vikings passing attack that ranks near the bottom of the NFL behind J.J. McCarthy and a protection unit that’s allowed heavy pressure.([foxsports.com](https://www.foxsports.com/nfl/week-15-minnesota-vikings-vs-dallas-cowboys-dec-14-2025-game-boxscore-10803/?utm_source=openai)) Add in Dallas’ historical series dominance (including the 40-3 demolition in 2022) and the fact that the Cowboys still have realistic NFC playoff paths while Minnesota faces near-elimination, and laying the juice on the Cowboys moneyline at -275 is the safer side, even if the price isn’t cheap enough to earn an A-level value grade.([vikings.com](https://www.vikings.com/tickets/2025/vikings-at-cowboys-information-history-121425?utm_source=openai)) Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 12/12/2025 12:04

With the Cowboys averaging just under 30 points per game on offense and also surrendering close to 30 per outing, while Minnesota scores around 20 and allows roughly 22, the season-long profile points toward a total slightly north of this 48 mark, especially on an indoor surface that should favor speed on both sides.([bleachernation.com](https://www.bleachernation.com/tickets/2025/05/15/cowboys-vs-vikings-week-15-tickets-sunday-december-14-2025/?utm_source=openai)) Dallas’ recent stretch—back-to-back high-scoring wins over Philadelphia and Kansas City followed by a 44-30 loss in Detroit—confirms that Prescott, Javonte Williams and George Pickens are consistently generating chunk plays but that the defense is prone to breakdowns, which could again be stressed by Aaron Jones’ long-standing success against this franchise and Justin Jefferson’s matchup against a secondary still working injured starters back into form.([vikings.com](https://www.vikings.com/tickets/2025/vikings-at-cowboys-information-history-121425?utm_source=openai)) On the other side, McCarthy’s volatility and the Vikings’ injury issues at tackle, tight end and receiver actually help the Over case, as sacks and turnovers can create short fields and non-sustained drives that spike overall play volume and scoring variance, and with slim playoff hopes on the line for both teams there’s little incentive to play conservatively if either side falls behind early, making Over 48 at -110 a reasonable attack on a number the market has hovered around all week.([vikings.com](https://www.vikings.com/news/dallas-cowboys-injury-report-week-15-2025?utm_source=openai)) Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 12/12/2025 12:04

Against the spread, the current form and injury landscape nudge this toward the underdog, as Dallas’ three-game sample of narrow wins over Philadelphia and Kansas City followed by a double-digit loss in Detroit suggests strong but not always dominant performances, while Minnesota has sandwiched two awful offensive outings between a 31-0 home rout that hinted at growing comfort for McCarthy in Kevin O’Connell’s scheme.([dailynorseman.com](https://www.dailynorseman.com/minnesota-vikings-2025-season/93666/minnesota-vikings-news-and-links-its-gonna-be-a-fun-ride?utm_source=openai)) The Vikings are far from healthy, but if Darrisaw and Hockenson can even partially go, that stabilizes protection and underneath options enough for Jefferson, Addison and Jones—whose career production versus this franchise has been outstanding—to exploit a Dallas defense that has given up big plays all season and is managing its own list of key injuries at corner, edge and across the offensive supporting cast.([vikings.com](https://www.vikings.com/news/dallas-cowboys-injury-report-week-15-2025?utm_source=openai)) With Lamb trending toward playing but still recently concussed, plus a potentially limited Ferguson and reshuffled offensive line, the Cowboys’ path to a multi-score cover is narrower than their moneyline odds imply, and in a high-variance indoor game where a late scoring drive from either side can flip the margin, taking Minnesota +6 at -110 gets a slight value nod despite the clear quarterback and offensive-efficiency edge residing with Dallas.([reuters.com](https://www.reuters.com/sports/cowboys-wr-ceedee-lamb-practices-still-protocol--flm-2025-12-11/?utm_source=openai)) Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 12/12/2025 12:04