Bucks vs Grizzlies

Memphis leans on Santi Aldama and Jaren Jackson Jr. to keep their slight upswing going at FedExForum, where they’ve taken three of their last five while a Giannis-less Bucks squad arrives just 4-10 on the road despite snapping a recent three-game skid in Indiana. ([oddscrowd.com](https://oddscrowd.com/games/milwaukee-bucks-vs-memphis-grizzlies-nba-december-27-2025/5494659/game-preview?utm_source=openai)) With Ja Morant and Zach Edey still sidelined and Vince Williams Jr. managing knee issues, the Grizzlies aren’t close to full strength, but Milwaukee remains without Giannis Antetokounmpo after his early-December soleus/calf strain, forcing Doc Rivers to lean heavily on Kevin Porter Jr., Ryan Rollins, Kyle Kuzma and Bobby Portis for creation. ([reuters.com](https://www.reuters.com/sports/basketball/santi-aldamas-37-point-effort-boosts-grizzlies-over-jazz--flm-2025-12-24/?utm_source=openai)) Even so, Memphis has dominated this matchup recently with eight wins in the last 10 and seven straight over the Bucks, and their length on the wings plus home-court edge still justify the Grizzlies as rightful favorites around -200, even if the price trims some upside. ([oddsshark.com](https://www.oddsshark.com/nba/milwaukee-memphis-odds-december-26-2025-2457649?utm_source=openai)) I’ll back Memphis Grizzlies -200 on the moneyline as a solid but not spectacular value (Grade: B). Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 26/12/2025 10:03

Milwaukee’s offense without Giannis has been volatile enough that the Bucks have cashed five straight Unders, while Memphis has leaned Under overall as well, with just 11 overs in 30 games and a 6-8 O/U mark at home. ([reuters.com](https://www.reuters.com/sports/basketball/bucks-get-back-win-column-vs-hapless-pacers--flm-2025-12-24/?utm_source=openai)) With Morant and Edey still out, the Grizzlies are leaning more on Aldama, Jackson Jr. and a committee of guards, which has nudged them toward more halfcourt creation and switchable defense rather than pure pace-and-space shootouts. ([reuters.com](https://www.reuters.com/sports/basketball/santi-aldamas-37-point-effort-boosts-grizzlies-over-jazz--flm-2025-12-24/?utm_source=openai)) On the other side, the Bucks’ post-Giannis attack is more jump-shot heavy and less transition-driven, and betting markets have already pushed this total into the mid‑220s from openers, signaling modest scoring expectations compared with past meetings between these teams. ([sports.yahoo.com](https://sports.yahoo.com/articles/giannis-injury-timeline-extended-4-230731928.html?utm_source=openai)) With both primary engines (Giannis and Ja) off the floor and recent trends firmly pointing downward, I’m playing Under 227 at -113 and grading it a B+ for a strong trend-based angle with reasonable value. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 26/12/2025 10:03

Milwaukee’s reconfigured rotation has covered four of its last six and now gets a full +5 cushion against a Grizzlies team that’s only 6-8 at home and 3-2 over its last five, hardly a dominant profile for a sizable favorite. ([oddsshark.com](https://www.oddsshark.com/nba/milwaukee-memphis-odds-december-26-2025-2457649?utm_source=openai)) Even with Giannis sidelined, the Bucks’ depth core of Porter Jr., Rollins, Kuzma, Portis and Myles Turner has shown it can generate enough offense by committee, while Memphis is still missing Morant plus size in Edey and managing Williams Jr.’s health, thinning their perimeter defense and bench scoring. ([reuters.com](https://www.reuters.com/sports/basketball/bucks-get-back-win-column-vs-hapless-pacers--flm-2025-12-24/?utm_source=openai)) Yes, the Grizzlies have dominated this series—9-1 ATS and 8-2 straight up over the last 10, including seven straight covers—but much of that run came with healthier versions of both teams and a less balanced Bucks rotation. ([oddsshark.com](https://www.oddsshark.com/nba/milwaukee-memphis-odds-december-26-2025-2457649?utm_source=openai)) Given the current injury context and improved Milwaukee depth, I like the Bucks to hang inside the number and will take Milwaukee +5 at -112 with a B grade, expecting a tight game that stays within one or two possessions late. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 26/12/2025 10:03