NBA
Bucks vs Bulls
Giannis sits again, but Milwaukee’s hot backcourt smells another Bull’s-eye.

Milwaukee Bucks
Bucks (26-31) VS Bulls (24-35)
March 1, 2026 | 3:30 PM ET | United Center, Chicago, IL

Chicago Bulls

Moneyline Pick - Milwaukee Bucks (-140): B
Milwaukee’s supporting cast has caught fire during Giannis Antetokounmpo’s calf absence, and after winning five of six before a narrow loss to New York, they now walk into Chicago against a Bulls team riding an 11-game overall skid and eight straight home losses with Anfernee Simons, Jaden Ivey, Zach Collins and Jalen Smith all sidelined or limited. The Bucks’ perimeter core of Ryan Rollins, Kevin Porter Jr. and Kyle Kuzma has already shredded Chicago three times this season—including Kuzma’s 31-point burst in the 131-115 win on February 3—while the Bulls’ thin front line and bottom-tier defense continue to concede efficient looks. With Milwaukee sitting just outside the Eastern Conference play-in in 11th and Chicago a step behind in 12th, urgency should favor the deeper, more cohesive side, so I’m backing the Bucks to complete the season sweep at -140 on the moneyline, a solid but not elite value that earns a B grade. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 01/03/2026 14:22
Over/Under Pick - Over 231.5, (+100): C+
Chicago’s leaky defense has fueled this 11-game slide, with opponents routinely cracking 120 points, and Milwaukee’s offense—even without Giannis—has just hung 128 on Miami and 118 on Cleveland behind hot shooting from Porter Jr., Bobby Portis and Rollins. The three regular-season meetings between these teams have finished with totals of 236, 215 and 246, and with the Bulls’ short-handed perimeter group (Simons and Ivey out, Patrick Williams banged up) struggling to contain drivers and shooters while high-usage creators like Josh Giddey and Matas Buzelis push tempo, another up-and-down game at United Center is very much in play. Add in late-game fouling equity for two desperate teams sitting 11th and 12th in the East, and I lean to the Over 231.5 at even money, though the elevated number and occasional Bucks half-court lulls keep this to a C+ confidence grade. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 01/03/2026 14:22
Spread Pick - Milwaukee Bucks, -3 (-100): B-
Ryan Rollins and Kyle Kuzma have repeatedly carved up this Bulls defense, powering Milwaukee to wins of 16, 9 and 16 points in the first three matchups, and now they get a Chicago team on an 11-game freefall and eight-game home skid that’s missing multiple rotation scorers and bigs. Even with Giannis ruled out again and the Bucks technically on a one-game losing streak after their recent surge, Milwaukee’s deeper perimeter rotation (Porter Jr., Rollins, Gary Trent Jr.) matches up favorably with a Bulls backcourt stretched thin by the absences of Simons and Ivey, while Chicago’s negative net rating and 120.5 points allowed per game underscore why they’ve been so consistently outscored. Given both clubs’ play-in stakes and the Bucks’ superior shooting profile and season-long dominance in this matchup, laying the short -3 at -100 offers slightly better value than the straight moneyline and earns a B- grade. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 01/03/2026 14:22
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