MLB

Milwaukee Brewers vs Chicago Cubs

Windy City edge tilts blue by a run tonight.

Milwaukee Brewers

Brewers (97-65) VS Cubs (92-70)

October 9, 2025 | 9:08 p.m. ET | Wrigley Field, Chicago, IL

Chicago Cubs
Moneyline Pick - Chicago Cubs (-105): B

Chicago returns home with momentum and an offense capable of striking early after showing life in its previous outing. The Cubs’ top order has generated consistent pressure throughout the series, and home-field urgency in an elimination scenario amplifies their edge. Milwaukee, meanwhile, faces roster uncertainty with key players dealing with health questions and late-inning reliability issues. That instability, combined with Chicago’s familiarity at Wrigley and tactical flexibility in must-win situations, tilts this prediction toward the hosts as a slight favorite despite market hesitation.

From a betting perspective, this pick aligns with situational strength over statistical dominance. The Cubs’ balanced lineup and bullpen depth fit well in a high-leverage home environment, while Milwaukee’s minor injury concerns and bullpen juggling introduce volatility. At near-even odds, siding with the home team’s momentum and cleaner structure carries more value than fading it.

This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 10/09/2025 at 9:30am

Over/Under Pick - Over 7 (-120): B-

Chicago and Milwaukee meet in a spot that profiles well for offense, with both lineups showing pop and each bullpen stretched from recent workloads. Freddy Peralta’s quick turnaround and Matthew Boyd’s volatility create early scoring potential, especially given the recent trend of higher totals between these clubs. The Cubs’ upper lineup has driven quality contact throughout the series, while Milwaukee’s power production remains intact despite a few lineup dings. Both sides are capable of capitalizing on middle-inning matchups, particularly if starters exit before the sixth.

From a betting standpoint, this prediction leans toward the Over based on pitching dynamics and form indicators. Neither team projects to manage traffic cleanly through all nine innings, and postseason urgency often shortens leashes, leading to more bullpen exposure. At 7 and modest juice, the number sits within reason for a game that could again feature steady run flow.

This prediction gets a B- grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 10/09/2025 at 9:32am

Spread Pick - Chicago Cubs, +1.5 (-170): B

Chicago’s resilience in close games and the uncertain health of key Milwaukee contributors create a setup where another tight finish feels likely. The Cubs’ bullpen steadied in their last outing, giving them the reliability edge late, while home-field energy in an elimination environment amplifies focus in situational spots. Milwaukee’s ongoing shuffle in the late innings and the question mark around one of its key hitters add to the volatility. With both lineups capable but neither poised to separate easily, the broader trends point toward a contest decided by slim margins.

From a betting angle, this prediction favors the protection of +1.5 on Chicago in a matchup where extra-inning or one-run outcomes are in play. The Cubs’ defensive stability and home momentum complement that safety net, even if the price trims overall value. It’s a conservative but logical approach in a series that’s leaned tight throughout.

This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 10/09/2025 at 9:32am

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