Dolphins vs Steelers

Miami rolls in on a four-game heater, but Pittsburgh’s rebound win over Baltimore sets up a classic styles-and-conditions spot where the home team can dictate tempo: the Steelers get Aaron Rodgers vs. Tua Tagovailoa in a game expected to be played in extreme cold (with wind) at Acrisure, and that kind of night typically rewards the offense that can stay on schedule with quick-game/screen answers and patient drives rather than living on timing-based explosives; the one big worry for backing Pittsburgh is losing T.J. Watt (lung) as the engine of their defensive disruption, yet the Steelers’ path is still cleaner at home with Rodgers’ experience in these environments and a division lead to protect. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 15/12/2025 09:30 ([rotowire.com](https://www.rotowire.com/football/lineups.php))

Even with Miami’s recent surge, this sets up like a points-compression game: the Dolphins’ streak has been powered by the run game and they’ve shown they’re comfortable shrinking the passing volume, while Pittsburgh is also built to live in shorter throws and ball-control stretches—then layer in the frigid Pittsburgh forecast and you’re looking at fewer easy explosive plays, more conservative fourth-down/field-position decisions, and more red-zone possessions that can bog down; Watt being out does introduce risk (especially if Miami’s backs are healthy enough to press the edges), but the temperature/wind combination plus both likely leaning into the ground game keeps the Under as the side with better structural support. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 15/12/2025 09:30 ([rotowire.com](https://www.rotowire.com/football/lineups.php))

Pittsburgh is the more attractive straight-up side at home, but +3 gives Miami a valuable cushion in what profiles as a tight, lower-scoring game where one turnover or one special-teams swing can decide it late: the Dolphins enter with more week-to-week momentum, their starting QB/RB are lined up to go, and Watt’s absence meaningfully lowers the Steelers’ margin for error when they need a key third-down pressure—so if Miami can keep it clean with the run game and avoid long-yardage dropbacks in the cold, this has the feel of a field-goal-or-less finish that lands inside the number even if Pittsburgh survives. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 15/12/2025 09:30 ([rotowire.com](https://www.rotowire.com/football/lineups.php))