NBA
Grizzlies vs Wizards
Can Washington’s rising core trip Memphis again on home court?

Memphis Grizzlies
Grizzlies (15-16) VS Wizards (6-23)
December 28, 2025 | 6:00 p.m. ET | Capital One Arena, Washington, D.C.

Washington Wizards

Moneyline Pick - Memphis Grizzlies (-265): B
Ja Morant and the Grizzlies roll into D.C. on a two-game win streak, while the Wizards just snapped their own skid with a 138-117 home blowout of Toronto but still sit at 6-23 despite that spark.([espn.com](https://www.espn.com/nba/team/_/name/mem/memphis-grizzlies)) Even with Memphis shorthanded — Vince Williams Jr. ruled out and several rotation pieces like Brandon Clarke, John Konchar, Zach Edey and Ty Jerome sidelined, plus Jock Landale questionable — their league-average efficiency and 10–3 record as moneyline favorites match up well with a Washington group sporting one of the league’s worst defensive ratings and still leaning heavily on CJ McCollum, Kyshawn George and Alex Sarr for creation.([espn.com](https://www.espn.com/nba/team/injuries/_/name/mem/memphis-grizzlies)) Washington did steal a 130-122 comeback win in Memphis last week behind 28-point nights from McCollum and George, but Memphis’ superior rebounding and additional shot creation from Morant and Jaren Jackson Jr. tilt this rematch toward the Grizzlies moneyline despite the juice, so I’ll play Memphis to win straight up at -265 with a B grade for solid likelihood but only moderate value.([washingtonpost.com](https://www.washingtonpost.com/sports/2025/11/24/wizards-scores-schedule-highlights-and-transactions/?utm_source=openai)) Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 28/12/2025 09:39
Over/Under Pick - Under 238.5 (-110): B-
Washington’s up-tempo Wizards, who have been playing top-10 pace and just erupted for 138 points on the Raptors, now face a Grizzlies team averaging 115.4 points and allowing 115.8, meaning these offenses combine for roughly 229 points per game against a very aggressive 238.5 total.([bulletsforever.com](https://www.bulletsforever.com/washington-wizards-recaps/67022/wizards-vs-raptors-recap-wizards-dominate-the-raptors?utm_source=openai)) Their first meeting in Memphis shot past the number at 130-122 and Wizards games have gone over totals often, but Grizzlies contests have cleared the total in only 12 of 29 while Washington’s defensive rating has ticked slightly better over the last five games, and potential limitations for Kyshawn George (hip) and Malaki Branham (thumb) along with Corey Kispert and Cam Whitmore already out could thin the Wizards’ shooting.([foxsports.com](https://www.foxsports.com/nba/washington-wizards-vs-memphis-grizzlies-dec-20-2025-game-boxscore-43864?utm_source=openai)) With the market already inflated by a couple of recent shootouts, I lean Under 238.5 (-110) and grade it B-, respecting the offensive upside but siding with season-long numbers and injury-driven downside to Washington’s scoring depth. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 28/12/2025 09:39
Spread Pick - Washington Wizards, +6.5 (-107): B
CJ McCollum and Kyshawn George just powered Washington to a stunning 130-122 comeback win in Memphis and a 21-point rout of Toronto, and getting +6.5 at home against a Grizzlies squad missing multiple rotation guards and wings feels rich for a Wizards team that has covered 11 times as sizable underdogs and has quietly won three of its last six.([bulletsforever.com](https://www.bulletsforever.com/washington-wizards-recaps/66892/washington-wizards?utm_source=openai)) Memphis is riding a two-game win streak and remains 10–3 straight up as a favorite, but it has yet to cover when laying 6.5 or more and Washington’s improved attack around McCollum, Sarr and George — plus the confidence from that FedExForum upset and a modest current W1 streak — makes it easier to trust the points than the pricey road chalk, so I’ll take Wizards +6.5 (-107) with a B grade, expecting them to keep this within two possessions even if the Grizzlies escape with the win.([espn.com](https://www.espn.com/nba/team/_/name/mem/memphis-grizzlies)) Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 28/12/2025 09:39
Get the best odds on this prediction
Use our Live Odds Tool to get the best price on your favourite picks
Related posts
Check out the latest picks from Shurzy AI and our team of experts.
