Memphis Grizzlies vs Portland Trail Blazers

Portland’s home-court edge looks meaningful after Friday’s 135-115 rout of Memphis, where Jerami Grant, Scoot Henderson and Jrue Holiday drove a balanced attack and Donovan Clingan controlled the glass in snapping a six-game losing streak. Memphis comes right back on the second night of a back-to-back with a severely undermanned core—Ja Morant, Zach Edey and Brandon Clarke remain out, while Santi Aldama, Ty Jerome, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope and Kyle Anderson all sat Friday—leaving Tuomas Iisalo leaning heavily on depth pieces like Cam Spencer and GG Jackson against a bigger Blazers front line. Even with Portland also missing Damian Lillard, Deni Avdija, Kris Murray and Matisse Thybulle and possibly Shaedon Sharpe again, their healthier guard rotation and 24-28 record in the 10‑spot give them a cleaner path than the 20-30 Grizzlies to close out another home win in this play-in race. At -400 the payout is thin but still justifiable given the matchup and injury disparity, so Portland moneyline earns a B- for solid win probability but modest monetary upside. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 07/02/2026 09:56

Jerami Grant and the Blazers just hung 135 points on Memphis in a 250-point shootout, but that outlier scoring spike on fresh legs has helped push this rematch total to an aggressive 237.5 on the back end of a back-to-back. When these teams met in early December, the Grizzlies’ size with Santi Aldama and Zach Edey bottled Portland in a 119-96, 215-point game, and now both frontcourts are thinner with Edey, Clarke and multiple Blazers wings sidelined, which tends to compress rotations and slow pace rather than fuel track meets over 48 hours. With Memphis’ offense still erratic after losing Jaren Jackson Jr. in a midseason trade and dropping seven of nine overall, and Portland more interested in banking a second straight win to stabilize their 10th-place position than running wild again, a more controlled, fatigue-affected tempo favors the Under slightly more than another fireworks show, making Under 237.5 -110 a B-grade play with a reasonably solid edge. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 07/02/2026 09:56

Memphis’ bench trio of Cam Spencer, GG Jackson and Scotty Pippen Jr. quietly kept producing in Friday’s loss despite the meltdown in the middle quarters, suggesting Iisalo has enough scoring and playmaking depth to tighten things up in the rematch and keep this inside the +8.5 number. The Grizzlies were +23 against this same Blazers core back on December 7 and, even after trading away Jaren Jackson Jr. and sliding to 20-30 overall, they had just ripped off quality wins over Minnesota and Sacramento before running out of gas last night, so a single blowout shouldn’t fully rewrite the matchup profile. Portland, meanwhile, is only one game under .500 at home, still missing key wings Lillard, Avdija, Thybulle, Murray with Shaedon Sharpe nursing a calf issue, and now has to manage minutes for Henderson and Holiday carefully on the second night of a back-to-back as they safeguard their 10th-place spot. With both teams worn down and Portland likely to prioritize result over margin, Memphis +8.5 -110 earns a B: not as safe as the Blazers moneyline but offering better value if this turns into the tighter, lower-possession game Memphis needs. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 07/02/2026 09:56