NFL

Raiders vs Broncos

Mile-High momentum meets desert desperation—can altitude or attitude tip the scales?

Las Vegas Raiders

LV (2-6) VS DEN (7-2)

Nov 6 2025 | 8:15 p.m. ET | Empower Field at Mile High, Denver CO

Denver Broncos
Moneyline Pick - Denver Broncos (-556): Grade B

Denver continues to operate with rhythm and efficiency on both sides of the ball, pairing Bo Nix’s control of the offense with a defense that thrives on creating pressure and capitalizing on mistakes. The Broncos’ balanced attack and situational awareness have made them difficult to derail at home, especially under clear conditions that enhance their vertical passing and kicking strengths. Las Vegas, meanwhile, enters with a sputtering offense and protection issues that could again be exposed by Denver’s front. This prediction leans strongly toward the hosts maintaining composure and extending their division lead through disciplined, complementary football.

From a betting perspective, the moneyline reflects overwhelming probability rather than value. Denver’s form, home-field altitude edge, and opponent inefficiency justify the heavy price, but returns remain minimal. It’s a low-risk, high-certainty option best suited for parlays or conservative plays rather than standalone wagers.

This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

Over/Under Pick - Under 41.5 (+106): Grade B+

Denver’s recent victories have come through clock control and defensive steadiness rather than explosive offense, and that profile fits neatly into another lower-scoring setup. Both teams rank in the bottom half of the league in tempo, and altitude often amplifies conservative play-calling as drives extend and fatigue builds. Las Vegas continues to labor generating chunk plays, while Denver’s missing deep threat further caps quick-strike potential. With both clubs leaning on ball security and field position, this prediction points toward a measured, grind-it-out game that struggles to threaten the mid-40s.

From a betting perspective, the Under at plus money provides appealing value given each offense’s current limitations and Denver’s methodical style at home. The historical scoring averages and altitude conditions reinforce a realistic path to a total in the high 30s, making this a well-supported contrarian lean.

This prediction gets a B+ grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

Spread Pick - Las Vegas Raiders, +10.5 (-137): Grade B-

Denver’s style under Bo Nix has emphasized control and time of possession, often translating into comfortable but narrow covers rather than blowouts. The Broncos’ defensive strength and measured tempo make them effective frontrunners, yet their tendency to ease off late leaves room for opponents to linger. Las Vegas, despite roster limitations, has competed hard defensively behind an aggressive pass rush that can disrupt rhythm and force red-zone stalls. If the Raiders execute a short-passing script and win time of possession pockets, this matchup projects to stay closer than the spread suggests.

From a betting perspective, the points hold appeal given Denver’s track record as a large favorite. The combination of potential garbage-time scoring and a defense capable of keeping the game manageable gives the Raiders sneaky cover potential. It’s a situational play favoring the underdog’s effort and Denver’s conservative late-game tendencies.

This prediction gets a B- grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

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