NBA

Los Angeles Lakers vs New Orleans Pelicans

Can the short-handed Pels weather L.A.’s star-powered storm?

Los Angeles Lakers

Lakers (8-4) VS Pelicans (2-9)

November 14, 2025 | 8:00 PM ET | Smoothie King Center, New Orleans, LA

New Orleans Pelicans
Moneyline Pick - Los Angeles Lakers (-442): B

Los Angeles enters this matchup with a steadier overall profile than its recent blowout suggests, leaning on a strong road résumé, improved interior efficiency and a half-court scheme that travels well. New Orleans, by contrast, continues to navigate an extended lull, operating without several primary creators and relying heavily on secondary options to generate offense. That combination has exposed a defense already ranked near the bottom of the league and struggling to contain drives or defend the perimeter in rotation. With the visitors’ transition game still intact and their spacing concepts typically sharper away from home, the matchup leans toward a controlled response effort. Those broader trends shape this prediction, positioning Los Angeles as the sharper pick for a moneyline bet built more on stability than volatility.

From a conversational angle, this feels like the kind of spot where taking the team with cleaner structure and healthier depth simply makes sense. Los Angeles has shown it can reset quickly after tough losses, especially when its ball-movement patterns and rim pressure find early rhythm. New Orleans can scrap, but the current injury load limits its ability to keep pace for a full four quarters. With the defensive gap and road form both favoring the visitors, sticking with the same prediction remains the logical call.

This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

Over/Under Pick - Over 229 (-107): B-

Los Angeles enters this matchup with an offense that consistently accelerates when its primary initiator is available, producing efficient transition pushes and early-clock looks that tend to inflate overall scoring environments. New Orleans, even while navigating a thinned rotation, continues to favor an uptempo approach that shortens possessions and stresses defensive spacing. The Pelicans’ recent defensive metrics remain vulnerable, particularly in containing downhill actions and protecting the arc, while the Lakers’ smaller, injury-adjusted lineups naturally encourage added pace. With both sides leaning into rhythm-based attacks rather than methodical half-court possessions, this prediction supports an Over pick that aligns with the foundational trends behind the bet.

On a more casual note, this feels like one of those games where both teams can run their way into a higher total without forcing the issue. New Orleans rarely slows down at home, and Los Angeles typically adapts by pushing back in kind, especially when its spacing and ball movement trends lean toward open-floor basketball. Defensive consistency hasn’t been a strength for either roster in recent weeks, and the stylistic overlap points toward long stretches of back-and-forth scoring. If transition lanes open the way they often do for these clubs, clearing the posted number looks entirely reasonable.

This prediction gets a B- grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

Spread Pick - Los Angeles Lakers, -9.5 (-107): B-

Los Angeles enters this matchup with a steadier road profile built on disciplined defensive rotations, strong interior positioning and a transition game that tends to sharpen away from home. Even with key contributors unavailable, the rotation remains deep enough to sustain a balanced pace and generate efficient looks against a New Orleans group that continues to patch together lineups. The hosts have struggled to protect the paint or maintain structure late, and their reshuffled scoring hierarchy often forces longer possessions that stall under pressure. Those broader trends shape this prediction, as the matchup leans toward a controlled effort from the visitors that supports a multi-possession margin and frames the spread as a realistic pick for this bet.

From a more casual lens, this feels like the type of spot where the healthier and better-organized roster can gradually pull away. Los Angeles typically finds comfortable rhythm on the road through steady rebounding and timely half-court creation, while New Orleans’ depth issues make it difficult to counter extended runs or keep pace once tempo shifts. With the visitors motivated to reset after a difficult outing and the hosts still working through rotational instability, trusting the stronger overall structure makes sense. Re-using the original prediction fits naturally with how these teams tend to perform in similar situations.

This prediction gets a B- grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

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