Los Angeles Kings vs Pittsburgh Penguins

Pittsburgh’s balance of special-teams firepower and recent momentum makes the home side an attractive plus-money option. The Penguins’ power play remains the league’s most dangerous weapon, and facing a Kings penalty kill that has trended downward in November only amplifies that edge. Even without Jarry, Nedeljkovic’s solid form and the team’s improved defensive coverage in front of him provide enough stability to neutralize Los Angeles’ low-volume attack. Add in the Penguins’ dominant recent stretch and a roster led by veterans who thrive in matchup control, and the setup leans firmly toward a home rebound performance.

From a betting standpoint, this prediction hinges on form, health, and situational advantage. The Kings’ recent defensive leaks and lack of scoring depth make them vulnerable against a confident Penguins squad generating sustained zone time and consistent special-teams impact. With Crosby leading an offense that already exposed this opponent once, the value on a home repeat result justifies the plus price.

This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 11/09/2025 at 9:00am

All indicators point toward an up-tempo, offense-friendly matchup in Pittsburgh. The Penguins’ elite power play remains a nightly threat, and Los Angeles’ shaky penalty kill—compounded by recent breakdowns in coverage—creates a clear vulnerability. With Jarry unavailable and Rakell’s absence opening lineup flexibility, Pittsburgh’s younger forwards have been encouraged to push pace, fueling a looser, higher-event brand of hockey. Meanwhile, the Kings’ defensive metrics continue to sag, and their tendency to chase games often stretches neutral-zone discipline, adding to the Over appeal.

From a betting perspective, this prediction leans on trends and special-teams imbalance. Pittsburgh’s recent slate of totals surpassing six goals aligns with both clubs’ current forms and structural weaknesses. A matinee setting can occasionally dull pace, but given these rosters’ offensive strengths and inconsistent back-end support, sustained scoring opportunities should emerge early and often.

This prediction gets a B- grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 11/09/2025 at 9:00am

Pittsburgh’s consistency at home and ability to stay competitive against quality opponents make the puckline protection the more calculated side. Even with injuries thinning their depth, the Penguins’ core of Crosby, Malkin, and Karlsson provides enough stability and offensive creativity to keep games within reach. Los Angeles, meanwhile, has struggled to generate separation, rarely winning by multiple goals and showing uneven five-on-five finishing without Foegele and a fully healthy Kopitar. Add in Pittsburgh’s disciplined structure under Sullivan and reliable defensive spacing, and a one-goal contest feels like the likeliest outcome.

From a betting perspective, this prediction rests on probability and team identity. The Penguins’ veteran nucleus continues to manage tempo effectively at home, while the Kings’ limited scoring variety caps blowout potential. Although the juice is heavy, the risk reduction aligns with both recent data and matchup history, making the +1.5 line the sensible hedge.

This prediction gets a A- grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 11/09/2025 at 9:00am