Rockets vs Suns

Devin Booker and the Suns roll into this one on a three-game win streak at home while the Rockets arrive off a narrow loss that snapped their own hot run, yet Houston is still priced as the road favorite despite being without Kevin Durant, Fred VanVleet, Tari Eason and Dorian Finney-Smith and possibly leaning on a banged-up Steven Adams, against a Phoenix group missing Jalen Green, Grayson Allen and Ryan Dunn but still 7-2 in their own building with Booker historically torching Houston and this core having just seen Jalen Green (then a Rocket) and Alperen Sengun light up Phoenix in multiple meetings last season. Given the combination of current form, home-court edge and the Rockets’ star absences versus a Suns team that has been winning with defense and Booker’s shot-making, I’m taking Phoenix on the moneyline at +185 with a B-grade: the upset hit rate isn’t elite, but the payout meaningfully outpaces the risk profile. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 24/11/2025 10:01am

Houston’s attack has inevitably cooled with Durant, VanVleet and Eason sidelined, and now they face a Suns team on the second night of a back-to-back that’s nonetheless riding a three-game win streak fueled by more connected halfcourt defense, even as Booker shoulders a heavy creation load, while Phoenix is also down key perimeter spacers in Jalen Green and Grayson Allen, trimming some three-point volatility from both sides of this matchup. Recent Rockets–Suns clashes have produced some monster totals, including a 148–109 Houston blowout in Phoenix and another meeting that pushed into the 230s, but those came with deeper offensive firepower on both rosters and fresher legs; with both teams now likely leaning more on set actions, interior touches for Sengun and Phoenix’s bigs, and midrange creation from Booker, I lean to the Under 227 at -110 with a B- grade, balancing the strong seasonal scoring numbers against the current injury attrition and scheduling spot. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 24/11/2025 10:01am

Booker’s Suns getting +5.5 at Footprint Center is a generous cushion when you weigh their 7-2 home mark and three-game winning streak against a Rockets squad that’s still 5-2 on the road with a top-tier point differential but will be missing Durant, VanVleet, Eason and Finney-Smith, stripping away a huge chunk of shot creation and versatile defense. Phoenix is also shorthanded on the perimeter without Jalen Green, Grayson Allen and Ryan Dunn, yet they’ve just stacked close wins over playoff-caliber opponents, and their recent history with Houston includes both competitive games and that ugly blowout loss in this building, suggesting a wide range of outcomes where a full-possession-plus home dog has multiple paths to either a tight defeat or outright win behind Booker’s scoring and an active frontcourt. With Houston’s depth tested and the Suns’ form and building advantage strong, Suns +5.5 (-100) earns a B+ grade as my favorite combination of win probability and payoff among these angles. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 24/11/2025 10:01am