Warriors vs Nuggets
Mile-High Momentum Meets Curry-Less Dubs

Golden State Warriors (5-4) VS Nuggets (5-2)
Nov 7, 2025 | 11:00 PM ET | Ball Arena — Denver, CO


Denver’s home dominance and elite interior efficiency make it the clear favorite in this rematch. Jokić’s all-around control has elevated the Nuggets’ offense back to championship form, and his current triple-double rhythm gives them a decisive edge against a Warriors squad missing its top scoring engines. Without Curry and possibly Butler, Golden State loses both spacing and late-game creation, forcing heavier usage on role players ill-suited to sustain offensive pace at altitude. With Denver undefeated at Ball Arena and riding strong momentum, this prediction favors the Nuggets as the sharper bet to avenge October’s narrow setback.
From a betting perspective, this play rests on health, form, and matchup data. The Nuggets’ combination of depth, chemistry, and altitude advantage aligns perfectly against a depleted Warriors team lacking shot creation. Golden State’s thin rotation and defensive inconsistency away from home heighten the probability of another decisive Denver win. Laying the points fits the trend of the reigning champs asserting control in comfortable fashion.
This prediction gets an B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.
This matchup profiles as a slower, possession-heavy game, with Denver’s offense funneled through Jokić’s deliberate half-court orchestration and Golden State lacking its primary tempo driver in Curry. The Warriors’ scoring ceiling dips significantly without their lead guard, and Green’s lingering injury further curtails transition opportunities. Combined with Denver’s methodical approach and strong defensive discipline at home, the pace should fall well short of the arena’s usual totals. Factoring in travel fatigue and thinner rotations, this prediction favors the Under as the more reliable bet.
From a betting standpoint, this pick aligns with situational and statistical trends. Denver’s home dominance often translates into controlled pace and suppressed shot volume, while Golden State’s aging core tends to slow in altitude. The absence of Curry’s perimeter pressure removes a key catalyst for high-scoring spurts, supporting an expectation of a grounded, physical game inside the arc. The Under 228 fits both style and circumstance cleanly.
This prediction gets a B+ grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.
Denver’s home dominance has been defined by efficiency and balance, with contributions throughout the rotation supporting Jokić’s steady orchestration. The Nuggets’ +10.6 home margin highlights their ability to separate late, and with Golden State arriving short-handed and travel-worn, the matchup tilts heavily toward the defending champs. The Warriors’ depleted scoring core and shaky road defense leave little margin for error at altitude, where Denver’s pace control and secondary shooting typically shine. This prediction leans confidently toward the Nuggets to cover a double-digit spread at Ball Arena.
From a wagering perspective, this play builds on consistency and matchup advantage. Denver’s superior depth and physical conditioning suit them perfectly in this spot, while Golden State’s 1-3 road mark and lack of scoring firepower make it difficult to sustain runs. The Nuggets’ blend of half-court precision and late-game execution gives them the profile of a team capable of pulling away again at home.
This prediction gets a B+ grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.
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