Warriors vs Cavaliers

Donovan Mitchell and the Cavaliers get the moneyline nod at -320, with Cleveland riding a modest one-game win streak and a strong 9-5 home mark while Golden State arrives on a two-game overall skid and three straight road losses. With Stephen Curry sidelined by a quadriceps injury and multiple Warriors rotation players banged up, Cleveland’s comparatively healthier core of Mitchell and Evan Mobley should control the tempo against a Golden State team averaging only about 111 points over its last 10 games and struggling to generate efficient offense away from home. Mobley has historically produced well in this matchup, around 16 points and 9 rebounds per game against the Warriors, while Curry’s usual 26-a-night vs Cleveland is off the table, tilting the talent balance further toward the Cavs despite Jimmy Butler’s presence. Because the price is steep for a regular-season game and limits the payout, Cavaliers -320 grades out as a B- pick: high likelihood, but only moderate monetary value. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 06/12/2025 09:43am

Golden State’s offense looks far less explosive without Stephen Curry, who will miss this road swing, and that, combined with a Cavs group missing key pieces like Jarrett Allen and Max Strus, pushes me toward Under 228 at -110 despite Cleveland’s recent scoring surge. The Cavaliers have been efficient at home and are averaging just under 120 points per game on the season, but their last 10 outings have settled in the high-teens to mid-110s, while the Warriors have managed only about 111 points per game in that span and now lean more on Jimmy Butler’s deliberate half-court game than on Curry-driven pace. With Golden State just 4-9 on the road and riding a three-game road losing streak, plus both sides dealing with rotation injuries that trim shooting and depth, a slightly slower, more physical game than the market’s 228 suggests feels likely, so I rate Under 228 (-110) a B+ play for blending solid win probability with decent value. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 06/12/2025 09:43am

Evan Mobley has consistently hurt the Warriors’ smaller frontcourts, averaging roughly 16 points, 9 rebounds and a few assists against them, and his interior edge is magnified tonight with Golden State on a two-game slide and 3-game road losing streak, still without Curry to stabilize late-game offense. Cleveland is 9-5 at home and just picked up a confidence-boosting win, while the Warriors are 4-9 away and now must lean on Butler, Pat Spencer and a dinged-up supporting cast to keep up with a Cavs attack that’s been scoring close to 120 per night and has strong on-ball creation from Mitchell plus Mobley’s two-way impact. Even with Allen, Strus and depth pieces out, Cleveland’s current form, home-court edge and the Warriors’ negative road differential suggest the Cavs can win with margin more often than not, making Cavaliers -8 (-110) a B-grade pick against the spread that offers better upside than the moneyline but still carries real blowout and backdoor-cover volatility. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 06/12/2025 09:43am