NHL
Panthers vs Blue Jackets
Surging Columbus targets a wounded two-time champ in a must-have March home date.

Florida Panthers
FLA (30-28-3) VS CBJ (31-21-8)
March 5, 2026 | 7:00 PM ET | Nationwide Arena, Columbus, OH

Columbus Blue Jackets

Moneyline Pick - Columbus Blue Jackets (-109): B+
With Columbus riding a sustained heater at Nationwide and Florida stuck in a prolonged freefall, the slight home-moneyline edge toward the Blue Jackets at -109 looks justified. Columbus has ripped through the last several weeks with one of the league’s best records, stacking wins and points at home behind a top-six featuring Adam Fantilli, Charlie Coyle, Mason Marchment and Kirill Marchenko, plus a defense led by Zach Werenski when he’s healthy and driving offense from the back end. The Panthers, meanwhile, come in on a clear losing skid, leaking goals on this road trip and dealing with major injuries to Aleksander Barkov and Matthew Tkachuk on top of depth losses like Seth Jones, Jonah Gadjovich and Cole Schwindt, which leaves their forward group heavily reliant on Sam Reinhart, Carter Verhaeghe and Matthew Tkachuk’s replacements to carry the load in front of Sergei Bobrovsky. Historical matchup trends do tilt toward Florida — Columbus hasn’t beaten the Panthers in regulation since 2022 — but those results came when Florida was far closer to full strength; now the defending champs are near the bottom of the East, while the Jackets are pushing hard for a wild-card spot and have been getting above-average goaltending from Elvis Merzlikins and Jet Greaves in this building. Given the Jackets’ current form, home-ice edge, and the state of Florida’s lineup, Columbus -109 is a play I grade as a B+ — the price is fair more than discounted, but the combination of trajectory, desperation, and goaltending tilt still makes it the side I want. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 05/03/2026 09:37
Over/Under Pick - Over 6, (-117): B
The total sitting at 6 with the Over priced at -117 is aggressive but still appealing given how these specific rosters are trending right now. Florida’s injury-ravaged blue line and forward group have combined with subpar recent goaltending from Bobrovsky to produce one of the league’s worst defensive stretches over the last ten games, and they’ve bled goals on this road swing — including a multi-goal defeat in New Jersey where their structure again fell apart late. Columbus, on the other hand, is rolling four dangerous lines when healthy: Werenski is playing at an elite offensive level from the back end when he’s in, while Coyle, Fantilli, Marchenko, Marchment, Sean Monahan and others have all been on notable scoring runs, and the Jackets’ defense corps as a whole has been unusually productive. Historically, this matchup can get wild — we saw a high-scoring OT thriller in Sunrise back in December — and even though Florida is missing Barkov and Tkachuk, the combination of a desperate home team pushing pace for playoff positioning and a Panthers group that’s giving up a lot and still has enough secondary skill (Verhaeghe, Reinhart, Tomas Nosek, Anton Lundell) to chip in offense points to a game that lands on 6 or 7 more often than not. With push protection at exactly 6 and the way Florida’s defensive numbers look right now, I’ll lean Over 6 at -117 with a B grade, acknowledging some volatility if Merzlikins stands on his head or Bobrovsky flashes his old Columbus form for a night. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 05/03/2026 09:37
Puckline Pick - Columbus Blue Jackets, -1.5 (-220): B-
The puckline is a tougher call because asking Columbus to clear -1.5 at -220 requires them not just to win but to separate by two or more in what has often been a tricky matchup, yet the current context still leans toward a multi-goal Jackets result often enough to consider it. Florida’s recent road losses have tended to get away from them once they fall behind, with a tired and undermanned group missing Barkov and Tkachuk struggling to generate sustained 5-on-5 pushback or protect their own slot, and they’re now leaning heavily on Sam Reinhart and depth forwards to carry offense while the blue line battles injuries and inconsistency. Columbus, by contrast, is playing with real urgency in front of a loud Nationwide Arena crowd, chasing a playoff spot after a long drought, and they’ve repeatedly started fast at home, scoring first in a large majority of recent games and then using their depth — from Fantilli, Coyle, Marchenko and Marchment up front to Werenski driving transition when available — to extend leads late, with an added empty-net threat if Florida is chasing in the third. Goaltending also favors a Jackets-cover scenario: Merzlikins and Greaves have both been on strong runs, while Bobrovsky and the Panthers’ backups have seen their numbers crater during this 2-8-0 slide, leaving plenty of room for Columbus to turn a one-goal edge into two. The price is steep and the Panthers’ championship pedigree always carries a risk of a tight response, so I grade Columbus -1.5 at -220 as a B-: attractive for bettors already invested in a Jackets narrative, but more of a smaller-stake, high-variance add-on than a core position. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 05/03/2026 09:37
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