Oilers vs Kraken

Connor McDavid and the Edmonton Oilers roll into Seattle trying to stop a 3-6-1 slide over their last 10, while the Kraken look to rebound from back-to-back tight losses after an 11-5-5 surge to open the year. With rosters confirmed on ESPN, the key health notes are Ryan Nugent-Hopkins returning after missing nine games for Edmonton and Jaden Schwartz sidelined about six weeks for Seattle, but the Kraken still lean on Matty Beniers, Jordan Eberle, Jared McCann and a resurgent Philipp Grubauer, who has gone unbeaten in regulation with a goals-against around the low 2s this month. Edmonton’s defensive cracks have been obvious in recent blowouts against Colorado and Dallas, and even with McDavid, Leon Draisaitl and Zach Hyman driving elite offense, they now face a Kraken group that already handled them 3-2 here in October and routed them 6-1 in this building last March, offsetting the Oilers’ previous dominance in the series and Nugent-Hopkins’ hat-trick performance in a 5-4 win last season. At a home underdog price of 130, Seattle offers the better blend of form, goaltending trend, and matchup history, though Edmonton’s star power keeps this from being a premium edge, so I grade Kraken moneyline a B for moderate confidence and respectable value. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 29/11/2025 09:27am

With Edmonton coming off recent defensive disasters like a 9-1 loss to Colorado and an 8-3 home pounding by Dallas, backing offense in this matchup makes more sense than trusting either blue line at a total of 6. The Oilers still generate plenty with McDavid, Draisaitl, Hyman and a freshly returned Nugent-Hopkins, and they’ve been living in high-event territory on this road swing, while Seattle’s forward depth — Beniers, Eberle, McCann, Eeli Tolvanen and others — has produced three or more goals in most of their November outings despite Schwartz’s injury. Head-to-head, these teams have pushed recent totals to 7, 6 and 7 goals in games like last season’s 5-4 and 4-2 Edmonton wins and the 6-1 Kraken blowout, and Climate Pledge Arena has generally rewarded Seattle’s aggressive forecheck and transition game, which should stretch an Oilers defense that’s been bleeding odd-man rushes. Even if Grubauer maintains his solid early-season numbers, Edmonton’s power play and overall shot volume plus Kraken’s balanced scoring give Over 6 at -105 enough routes to cash to earn a B- grade from a probability-versus-price standpoint. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 29/11/2025 09:27am

The recent profile of this matchup suggests a tight game more often than not, which nudges me toward Seattle +1.5 on the puckline despite the heavy -185 price. The Kraken have already edged Edmonton 3-2 at home this season and, outside of last March’s 6-1 outlier, most of their meetings have stayed within a goal thanks to strong goaltending stretches from Daccord and now Grubauer plus a possession game that can neutralize the Oilers’ rush-heavy attack. Edmonton arrive off a lopsided loss to Dallas and a choppy month overall, and while McDavid, Draisaitl and company can absolutely blow the doors off anyone, the combination of Seattle’s solid home record, balanced scoring depth even without Schwartz, and Grubauer’s unbeaten run in regulation this year makes an Oilers multi-goal win less frequent than the price implies. Given the rich juice and correlation with the Kraken moneyline, I’d treat Seattle +1.5 as more of a parlay stabilizer than a standalone target, grading it C+ for relatively high likelihood of cashing but limited standalone value. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 29/11/2025 09:27am