Edmonton Oilers vs Calgary Flames

Connor McDavid and Leon Draisaitl roll into Calgary on a two-game winning streak, having just dismantled the Flames 5-1 to cap an 8-2-1 run in the rivalry while Calgary regroups from that loss after a 6-3 surge over its last nine. Edmonton is dealing with key absences in net and depth, with Tristan Jarry on injured reserve and several forwards banged up, but the core of McDavid, Draisaitl, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins and Evan Bouchard is intact, whereas Calgary’s blue line is thinner with Jake Bean out indefinitely and Zayne Parekh unavailable. Historically this matchup tilts toward Edmonton’s stars: McDavid has piled up around a point-and-a-half per game in his career against the Flames, Draisaitl has authored multiple multi-goal nights versus Calgary including last spring’s OT winner and this week’s hat trick, and Edmonton’s top-ranked power play has repeatedly carved up Dustin Wolf despite his strong overall body of work. With the Oilers pushing to solidify a top spot in the Pacific while the Flames try to claw back into the playoff race from the bottom of the division, the talent gap at the top of each roster and Edmonton’s recent dominance of the series make Oilers -135 on the moneyline my play, though the road setting and Wolf’s ceiling in goal keep it at a B+ rather than elite confidence. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 27/12/2025 09:41

Both teams enter this rematch off very different single-game results but generally high-event trends, with Edmonton on a two-game win streak in which it has scored nine goals and Calgary coming off that 5-1 defeat yet still 6-3 in its last nine, a stretch packed with scores like 7-4, 6-3 and 4-2. Injuries shape how those goals arrive more than how many there are: the Oilers are short Jarry and several depth pieces but still lean on an explosive core that drives a league-best power play, while the Flames are missing Bean and Parekh on the back end, forcing heavier minutes on the remaining defense in front of Wolf. Historically, McDavid has shredded Calgary to the tune of 60 points in 43 regular-season meetings and is on an 11-game point streak, Draisaitl has repeatedly torched the Flames with multi-goal performances, and Mikael Backlund’s recent scoring spike for Calgary suggests the home side can contribute more than the lone goal it managed in Edmonton. Add in Edmonton’s tendency to play wide-open special-teams-driven games and Calgary’s recent run of offensive outbursts at the Saddledome, and despite Wolf’s quality this profiles closer to a 4-3 type Battle of Alberta than another tight 3-2 grinder, so I lean Over 6.5 at -120 with a solid but not spectacular B grade given the juice and the possibility that Wolf drags it down into the 5–6 goal range. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 27/12/2025 09:41

Edmonton just cleared this puckline with room to spare in the first leg of the home-and-home, winning 5-1 to continue a stretch of mostly multi-goal victories over Calgary, and it arrives on a modest two-game heater while the Flames try to bounce back from that loss at the tail end of a 6-3 run that has still featured several lopsided scorelines. The Oilers are not fully healthy, especially in goal with Jarry sidelined, but their skating roster is loaded and intact, whereas Calgary’s defense corps is under pressure without Bean and with Parekh away, which is a tough recipe against a top unit led by McDavid and Draisaitl that has consistently produced big nights versus the Flames, including multiple hat tricks and OT winners in recent seasons. At the same time, Wolf has the ability to steal games or at least keep them within a goal, the Flames have some matchup pieces like Nazem Kadri and Backlund who can drive play at home, and rivalry intensity at the Saddledome often tightens things up late, so laying -1.5 on the road is inherently volatile. With Edmonton’s heavy skill edge and special teams giving it real blowout upside but the price and variance keeping the risk high, I view Oilers -1.5 at 180 as more of a smaller-stake, C+ value play that leans into their ceiling rather than a core position in this matchup. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 27/12/2025 09:41