Oilers vs Bruins

Connor McDavid rolls into TD Garden with Edmonton on a 5-2 run over its last seven and riding a recent 4-1 stretch against Boston, including that emphatic 4-0 road shutout in January that underscored how badly the Oilers can tilt the ice when their top line gets rolling. While Edmonton is missing several depth pieces (Kasperi Kapanen, Jack Roslovic, Noah Philp and Jake Walman are all on injured reserve), the core of McDavid, Leon Draisaitl, Zach Hyman, Mattias Ekholm and Evan Bouchard is intact, and a power play humming above 30% faces a Bruins penalty kill sitting in the middle of the pack. Boston counters with strong recent form of its own — five wins in the last six and an 11-5 home mark, driven by Jeremy Swayman’s work in net and David Pastrnak’s point-per-game pace since returning from injury — but the Bruins’ forward depth is thinned with Viktor Arvidsson and Tanner Jeannot banged up and multiple depth skaters on the shelf, which matters when tracking McDavid, who has 22 points in 15 career games versus Boston. Given Edmonton’s league-best power play, slightly higher event profile (3.41 goals for and against per game), and sustained success in this matchup, laying the -140 moneyline with the Oilers grades out as an A- play: not risk-free in a tough building, but offering a strong combination of win probability and a reasonable return of roughly 0.71 units per unit risked. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 18/12/2025 09:23am

With Edmonton averaging 3.41 goals both for and against and Boston sitting in the low-3s on both sides of the ledger, this matchup leans naturally toward offense, and the recent trends support that, as the total has gone over in five of the Oilers’ last seven games while the Bruins have mixed in several multi-goal wins and a few defensive clunkers over their recent 5-1 stretch. Injuries subtly push this game toward more scoring: Edmonton’s blue-line and bottom-six depth are thinned by the absences of Jake Walman and several supporting forwards, and Boston’s checking and matchup options are compromised with Viktor Arvidsson and Tanner Jeannot dealing with health issues and Matej Blumel plus two defensemen stuck on injured reserve. Layer in the key matchup pieces — McDavid and Draisaitl driving a top-ranked power play against a merely average Bruins penalty kill, Pastrnak and Morgan Geekie anchoring a top-five Boston power play versus an Oilers penalty kill in the low-80s — and you get an environment where special teams and high-end finishing can quickly push scoring beyond six. There is always some risk that Swayman or the newly acquired Tristan Jarry steals a goaltending duel and drags this into a tighter 3-2 type game, but the combination of pace, recent over trends, and star-driven power-play efficiency makes Over 6.5 at 100 a B-grade play, offering a clean even-money payout on what profiles as a somewhat volatile but clearly high-ceiling total. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 18/12/2025 09:23am

Given how often Edmonton and Boston have played tight, high-leverage games — from the 3-2 Oilers overtime win last December to Boston’s general resilience at home this season — taking the points with the Bruins on the puckline lines up with both recent form and matchup dynamics, even while the juice at -210 drags down the value. Edmonton enters hot, with wins in four of its last five against Boston and a recent surge powered by McDavid, Draisaitl and an elite power play, but the Oilers are still a basically break-even team in terms of goal differential and can be leaky defensively, especially with depth injuries on the back end and in the bottom six. Boston, meanwhile, has stabilized after a rough patch and is 5-1 in its last six thanks to Swayman’s strong play and Pastrnak’s renewed scoring burst, and despite missing some depth wingers and depth defense, the Bruins’ top-of-lineup talent and structure at TD Garden make it more likely they hang around than get blown out. Because our moneyline lean is still to Edmonton, the most common path to both wagers cashing is an Oilers win by a single goal — precisely the scenario in which Bruins +1.5 shines — but the steep price tag means the edge is more about win probability than return, so Bruins +1.5 at -210 earns only a C+ grade as a safer, lower-upside option for those prioritizing protection over payout. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 18/12/2025 09:23am