NHL

Red Wings vs Maple Leafs

Leafs look to carve up Detroit on Thanksgiving ice.

Detroit Red Wings

DET (1-1-0) VS TOR (1-1-0)

October 13, 2025 | 1:00 PM ET | Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON

Toronto Maple Leafs
Moneyline Pick - Toronto Maple Leafs (-190): Grade A-

Toronto enters this divisional matchup in a favorable scheduling and matchup position, backed by a deep forward corps and a proven ability to respond after losses. The Maple Leafs’ offensive hierarchy remains one of the league’s most dangerous, and their ability to dictate tempo at home gives them a distinct edge against a Detroit team transitioning from an emotional win to a short-rest road setting. The Wings’ defensive structure looked leaky in their last outing, and Toronto’s top six is well equipped to exploit those gaps with extended offensive-zone time. Expect the hosts to set the pace early and lean on puck control to protect the lead late.

From a betting standpoint, this pick backs Toronto on the moneyline at –190. The price reflects their advantages in depth, rest, and home-ice leverage, making it a sensible favorite play. The matchup favors sustained offensive pressure and a bounce-back performance from one of the league’s most efficient scoring groups.

This prediction gets a A- grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 10/13/2025 at 9:00am

Over/Under Pick - Over 6 (-115): Grade B+

All signs point toward another high-event tilt between two offensively loaded rosters. Both Toronto and Detroit play with tempo and creativity, and neither blue line has settled into early-season form. The Maple Leafs’ defensive-zone gaps have allowed opponents too much space, while the Red Wings’ aggressive forecheck continues to produce odd-man rushes and rebound looks. With both clubs leaning on power-play production and goaltenders showing only moderate early sharpness, this matchup profiles as one where pace and talent easily outweigh structure. Expect end-to-end action, multiple special-teams goals, and another contest driven by top-line scoring.

From a betting standpoint, this pick backs the Over on six goals, supported by both teams’ shot volume, power-play potency, and recent head-to-head fireworks. The offensive depth on each bench and loose October defensive execution make another high total the most probable outcome.

This prediction gets a B+ grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 10/13/2025 at 9:00am

Puckline Pick - Toronto Maple Leafs, -1.5 (-140): Grade B

Toronto’s recent dominance at home over Detroit pairs neatly with the current situational edge. The Maple Leafs’ offensive depth and ability to sustain multi-goal pressure have consistently surfaced in this matchup, especially when their top scorers convert early. Detroit’s compressed travel and likely goaltending rotation introduce further volatility, and against a Toronto lineup skilled at tilting possession, that can snowball quickly. The Leafs’ defensive group also brings stability late, capable of closing out games without relying heavily on special teams. Given their track record in this series and control metrics at Scotiabank Arena, a comfortable margin is well within reach.

From a betting perspective, this pick backs Toronto –1.5 on the puck line for the plus-money return. The blend of home-ice advantage, scoring consistency, and opponent fatigue supports a confident play with attractive upside relative to the straight moneyline.

This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 10/13/2025 at 9:00am

Share this post

Get the best odds on this prediction

Use our Live Odds Tool to get the best price on your favourite picks