Red Wings vs Oilers Betting Preview

Connor McDavid has dragged Edmonton’s attack into overdrive on this homestand, and with the Oilers still riding a 3-1-1 run fueled by explosion games against Seattle and Winnipeg, I’m willing to eat the juice and side with the home team at -205 on the moneyline. Detroit comes in red hot with a four-game winning streak and fresh off a tight road win in Calgary, but that also means the Red Wings are finishing a taxing Western Canada swing on a back-to-back while Edmonton is at home with an extra day to reset after the overtime loss to Buffalo. The Oilers’ core is intact (McDavid, Leon Draisaitl, Ryan Nugent-Hopkins and Evan Bouchard up front and on the blue line), while Detroit’s forward group is missing middle-six depth in Mason Appleton, and Edmonton’s absences are mostly secondary pieces, so the top-end matchup still tilts slightly toward the Oilers’ stars in their own building. The one big counterweight is that John Gibson and Cam Talbot have stabilized Detroit’s goaltending behind a top-six of Dylan Larkin, Alex DeBrincat, Patrick Kane and Lucas Raymond that already solved Edmonton once this season, holding McDavid quiet in a 4-2 Red Wings win, which is why this isn’t an elite value spot at this price. My projection still makes Edmonton the likelier winner given home ice, the Oilers’ elite power play pressure on a Detroit penalty kill that remains a weak link, and the scheduling edge, but the steep moneyline keeps this in B- territory rather than an A-level edge. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 11/12/2025 09:56

The way these two teams are playing right now, Over 6.5 at -105 looks appealing even with solid goaltending options on both benches. Detroit has leaned into an aggressive, skill-first identity, stringing together recent scorelines like 5-4 over Boston, 6-5 in a shootout loss at Columbus, a multi-goal win over Seattle and a 4-3 road victory in Calgary, while Edmonton’s homestand has featured a 9-4 demolition of Seattle, a 6-2 rout of Winnipeg and a 4-3 overtime track meet against Buffalo. Both rosters are healthy at the top of the lineup – Larkin and DeBrincat driving Detroit’s first line, McDavid and Draisaitl scorching on Edmonton’s power play – and the special-teams profile points to more scoring, with the Red Wings’ dangerous man-advantage facing an Oilers penalty kill that has sprung leaks in high-event games, and Detroit’s own penalty kill still vulnerable to Edmonton’s cross-seam passing. Even if John Gibson continues his strong form and Stuart Skinner holds up reasonably well, the combination of Detroit’s travel fatigue, Edmonton’s pace at home, and both coaches’ willingness to trade chances suggests a 4-3 or 5-3 type of night more often than not. I’d grade Over 6.5 (-105) as a B: a solid offensive environment, fair price, and some volatility if goaltending steals the show, but the recent scoring trends and star power tilt this toward a high-total script. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 11/12/2025 09:56

For the puckline, I prefer taking Detroit +1.5 at -145, but only with a C+ confidence grade given Edmonton’s blowout potential. The Red Wings have already shown they can hang with this Oilers core, winning 4-2 in October behind a monster Dylan Larkin performance that even managed to bottle up McDavid for a night, and Detroit’s current four-game heater – with balanced scoring from Larkin, DeBrincat, Kane and emerging youngsters plus improved goaltending from Gibson – makes them more resilient than their underdog price implies. At the same time, you’re still laying a hefty number to fade an Edmonton team that just put up nine on Seattle and six on Winnipeg, and that has the kind of power play and finishing talent that can turn a close third period into a multi-goal margin with an empty-netter in play. Significant injuries skew more toward Edmonton’s supporting cast (Trent Frederic, Kasperi Kapanen, Jack Roslovic, Jake Walman and Noah Philp all listed out or on IR), which subtly helps Detroit’s chances of keeping this within a goal, but the Red Wings are also in a tough scheduling spot to close their trip, which raises the ceiling on an Oilers runaway if fatigue hits late. With those cross-currents, I expect a competitive game that lands on Edmonton by a single goal often enough to justify the dog puckline, while acknowledging that the price and Edmonton’s offensive ceiling cap it at a C+ value play rather than something stronger. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 11/12/2025 09:56