Pistons vs Celtics

Detroit’s 13-game winning streak and East-best 15-2 record set the tone against a 9-8 Celtics team that has steadied with three wins in its last four but is only on a one-game streak. With Jayson Tatum already sidelined long-term and starting center Neemias Queta ruled out, Boston’s frontcourt depth is badly compromised compared with a mostly healthy Pistons rotation that leans on Cade Cunningham, Jalen Duren, Tobias Harris and a now-returned Jaden Ivey. Those same pillars just beat the Celtics 119-113 in October despite Jaylen Brown erupting for 41, underscoring how Detroit’s size, creation and rebounding can travel even when Boston shoots well at home. Given the matchup, injuries and current form, I have Detroit’s win probability a few points above the implied ~59% at -145, making Pistons moneyline a solid value play worthy of a B+ grade despite TD Garden variance.([espn.com](https://www.espn.com/nba/standings)) Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 26/11/2025 09:37am

Jaylen Brown and this retooled Celtics attack are averaging 114.6 points per game while Detroit’s surging offense is at 119.6 during its 15-2 start, and their first meeting finished 119-113 (232 total), just over this 231 number. Boston has quietly won three of four behind hot shooting nights like the 138-point outburst against Orlando, but with Queta out and Tatum still shelved, their defensive rating craters, opening the lane for Duren’s rolls and Detroit’s drive-and-kick game to keep the scoreboard ticking. At the same time, the Pistons’ improved team defense and slower closing style on the road could limit late-game scoring explosions, so while the offensive profiles, recent pace and rim-protection issues point me toward the Over 231 at -110, I’m keeping the confidence at a B- given how tight this total already is to my projection.([espn.com](https://www.espn.com/nba/standings)) Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 26/11/2025 09:37am

Cade Cunningham’s ability to hunt Boston’s smaller guards and wings, paired with Jalen Duren’s interior dominance that helped Detroit win the first matchup by six, makes laying just -3 attractive when the Pistons own a +7.0 average margin and a 13-game streak that includes double-digit wins over quality opponents. Boston’s recent mini-surge and home floor, along with Brown’s history of big scoring nights in this rivalry, add some volatility, but with Tatum and Queta both out the Celtics are far more reliant on jump shooting and small-ball lineups that can be bullied on the glass by Detroit’s bigger rotation. Between the reduced juice at -105 and the matchup edge inside, I slightly prefer Pistons -3 to the moneyline, grading it a B pick that carries more variance but a better payout if Detroit’s current level holds.([espn.com](https://www.espn.com/nba/standings)) Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 26/11/2025 09:37am