NFL

Broncos vs Eagles

Can the Mile-High gang ground Philly’s perfect start?

Denver Broncos

DEN (2-2) VS PHI (4-0)

Oct 5, 2025 | 12:00 PM ET | Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, PA

Philadelphia Eagles
Moneyline Pick - Philadelphia Eagles (-225): B

Philadelphia returns home in strong form, riding efficient offense and a defense that consistently dictates tempo. The Eagles’ balanced attack and dominant point differential underscore their ability to control games across multiple phases, while Denver continues to seek steady production under its new offensive approach. The Broncos’ defense has allowed a high completion rate and sporadic pressure, issues that could resurface against a Philadelphia line that excels in protection and second-level execution. Given both rosters are healthy and conditions look favorable, this prediction points toward the Eagles maintaining momentum behind their overall depth and defensive consistency.

For bettors, the moneyline play may not deliver big value, but it provides stability in a matchup tilted toward the home side’s strengths. Philadelphia’s rhythm on both sides of the ball and its strong track record at Lincoln Financial Field make this pick an appealing low-risk option. Denver’s uneven offensive flow and defensive vulnerabilities leave little margin for error against a top-tier team built to close out games efficiently. While the price isn’t ideal, backing the more complete roster remains the smarter bet.

This prediction gets an B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 10/04/2025 at 9:00am

Over/Under Pick - Under 43.5 (-110): B+

Philadelphia’s defensive control continues to define its identity, holding opponents below 17 points per game while dominating time of possession. That ability to limit snaps and dictate tempo fits perfectly with a conservative game script, especially against a Denver offense that prefers methodical drives. The Broncos’ defense has also trended upward, tightening yards allowed per play and forcing longer, slower possessions. Together, those elements support a projection where efficiency outweighs explosiveness, and both sides lean on field position rather than chasing big plays. As such, this prediction leans toward a lower-scoring contest comfortably under the posted total.

From a betting standpoint, the Under aligns with both teams’ philosophies and current form. Philadelphia’s clock management limits drive volume, while Denver’s focus on balance reduces volatility. Clean weather and disciplined defensive fronts only strengthen the case for a controlled pace and modest scoring output. With both units capable of red-zone stops, a total landing in the low 40s or below feels realistic. This pick favors patience and fundamentals over fireworks, making the Under a steady, data-backed bet.

This prediction gets an B+ grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 10/04/2025 at 9:00am

Spread Pick - Philadelphia Eagles, -4 (-110): B

Philadelphia’s defensive front continues to dictate outcomes, ranking among the league leaders in pressure rate and consistently disrupting opposing offenses. That strength up front pairs well with an offense that can extend drives through multiple avenues, forcing defenses to stay disciplined throughout. Denver’s protection metrics remain concerning, particularly against aggressive pass-rush schemes that collapse pockets and limit downfield rhythm. Add in Philadelphia’s solid margin of victory and composure at home, and this prediction points toward the Eagles covering a manageable spread in a game shaped by physical control and situational dominance.

For bettors, laying the small number feels justified given the performance gap between these two fronts. Denver’s inconsistency protecting the quarterback and difficulty containing mobile passers present clear matchup disadvantages, while Philadelphia’s blend of pressure and efficiency offers a reliable path to separation late. Even if the game remains close into the second half, the home team’s sustained execution gives this pick long-term value as the safer, more calculated bet.

This prediction gets an B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 10/04/2025 at 9:00am

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