NHL

Stars vs Jets

Hot Stars, wounded Jets, and a frosty night for value.

Dallas Stars

DAL (20-5-5) VS WPG (14-13-1)

December 9, 2025 | 8:00 PM ET | Canada Life Centre, Winnipeg, MB

Winnipeg Jets
Moneyline Pick - Dallas Stars (-135): A-

With Dallas grabbing points in nine straight and sitting 20-5-5 while Winnipeg is just 3-6-1 over its last 10, this matchup tilts toward the deeper, hotter road side despite the Canada Life Centre edge for the Jets. The Jets are likely still leaning on Eric Comrie and Thomas Milic while Connor Hellebuyck recovers from knee surgery, a downgrade in goal against a Stars team that has been piling up chances and riding Jake Oettinger’s strong form, whereas Dallas is absorbing the loss of Tyler Seguin thanks to a forward group led by Mikko Rantanen, Jason Robertson, Roope Hintz, and Matt Duchene. Historically, Robertson has been a serious Jets-killer with nine goals and 13 points in 13 career games against Winnipeg, and Dallas already edged the Jets 5-4 in their first meeting this season, suggesting their offensive ceiling travels well even in a tough road building. With the Stars also sitting second in the Central and the Jets hovering around the wild-card mix, the gap in current form, goaltending situation, and proven matchup scoring makes Dallas -135 a justified favorite and still playable; I grade this moneyline bet as an A- for confidence and solid, if not massive, return. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 09/12/2025 09:43am

Over/Under Pick - Over 6, (-110): B+

Dallas games have recently leaned on their depth scoring, with the Stars averaging 3.8 goals over their last 10 while allowing just 1.9, and they already combined with Winnipeg for nine goals in that 5-4 meeting earlier in the season, hinting at how explosive this matchup can get when the Jets are forced to chase. Winnipeg’s 3-6-1 run has featured leaky defense and inconsistent goaltending without Hellebuyck, and an offense driven by Kyle Connor, Gabriel Vilardi, and Mark Scheifele that still has enough punch to contribute a couple even when they’re outplayed territorially. On the other side, Dallas can roll three dangerous scoring lines with Robertson, Rantanen, Hintz, Duchene, and Wyatt Johnston, and their power play plus Winnipeg’s penalty issues raise the ceiling for special-teams scoring in a building that has seen these teams trade rush chances in recent seasons. With the total sitting at 6 and both attacks capable of stretching backup goalies, a 4-2 or 4-3 type of script is well within reach, and I grade Over 6 at -110 as a B+—not a lock given Oettinger’s ability to steal an Under, but offering a strong blend of upside and fair price. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 09/12/2025 09:43am

Puckline Pick - Dallas Stars, -1.5 (+185): B

The combination of Dallas’ extended point streak, Winnipeg’s 3-6-1 skid, and the Jets’ likely reliance on their non-Hellebuyck goaltending makes the Stars’ -1.5 puckline at +185 an intriguing way to leverage their current edge in form and depth. Dallas has shown they can break games open late—most recently with multi-goal third periods and comeback wins—and their top end of Robertson, Rantanen, Hintz, and Duchene can capitalize if the Jets’ defense bends under sustained pressure, especially with Josh Morrissey and company already logging heavy minutes on a team that has been spending too much time in its own zone. Winnipeg still owns dangerous finishing from Connor, Vilardi, and Scheifele, but their recent results and underlying goal differential in this skid suggest that when they lose, they’re at real risk of getting stretched to two or more goals, particularly against an opponent that already beat them once and is sitting comfortably in the upper tier of the Central standings. Because of road variance and the possibility of a tight divisional game settling 3-2, I grade Stars -1.5 at +185 as a B: higher risk but strong value if you expect Dallas’ current surge and the Jets’ goaltending situation to turn this into another multi-goal Stars win. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 09/12/2025 09:43am

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