NBA

Dallas vs Utah

Dallas’ recent surge points toward a narrow road edge in Salt Lake.

Dallas Mavericks

Mavericks (10-16) VS Jazz (9-15)

December 15, 2025 | 9:00 PM ET | Delta Center (Salt Lake City, UT)

Utah Jazz
Moneyline Pick - Dallas Mavericks (-125): B-

Anthony Davis and the Mavericks roll in with a W2 and six wins in their last seven, while Utah is coming off a W1 but still wearing a rough defensive profile that’s been bleeding points (and clean looks) for weeks; even with Kyrie Irving and Dereck Lively II out and Davis carrying a game-time tag, Dallas’ matchup advantage is the frontcourt pressure and rim gravity the Jazz are missing without Walker Kessler and Jusuf Nurkic, and it matters in a one-possession moneyline price. If this turns into clutch time, Dallas’ shot-making layers (including Klay Thompson’s spacing) and Utah’s turnover/defensive rebound risk tilt the late-game math toward the road team, so I’m backing the Mavericks to finish the job. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 15/12/2025 09:42am

Over/Under Pick - Over 238, (-110): C+

Keyonte George has Utah playing faster and looser lately—fresh off a 130-126 type of night—and the Jazz’s current “score and surrender” identity (elite offense, bottom-tier resistance) keeps pulling games into track-meet territory, especially when their center rotation is thinned by injuries; Dallas’ recent stretch has also produced plenty of high-end scoring outcomes even when their defense holds up in spots, and if Davis suits up, the free-throw/paint efficiency adds another clean path toward a 240-range total. The number is big, but Utah’s pace plus their points-allowed profile makes 238 feel reachable if Dallas converts at a normal clip from three and the Jazz guards keep the pressure on. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 15/12/2025 09:42am

Spread Pick - Dallas Mavericks, -1.5 (-110): B-

Klay Thompson’s history vs Utah (a steady scoring baseline with real “heater” upside) pairs well with a short number, and Dallas’ current form (W2, 6-4 in the last 10) suggests they’ve been handling business against teams in this tier even when they’re not 100% healthy; the key is Utah’s injury-shaved interior (no Kessler, no Nurkic) versus Dallas’ ability to generate paint touches and second-chance opportunities, which is exactly the kind of edge that turns a tight line into a cover late. With the Mavericks also showing the cleaner defensive ceiling in this matchup, I’ll lay the -1.5 and play Dallas to win by a bucket or more. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 15/12/2025 09:42am

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