Mavericks vs 76ers

Anthony Davis and Cooper Flagg have powered Dallas to six wins in its last eight games despite Kyrie Irving, Dereck Lively II, and Dante Exum being out and both Davis and Klay Thompson carrying minor tags, and they now catch a Philadelphia team on the second night of a back-to-back that just played without Joel Embiid, Kelly Oubre Jr., and Trendon Watford. Even though Embiid and Tyrese Maxey torched the Mavericks here back in February with a 29-point triple-double and a 33-point, 13-assist line in a 118-116 Sixers win, Dallas still covered that night and now brings a deeper frontcourt and an ascendant Flagg into a matchup where the Sixers’ overall form has been more uneven. With the Sixers slightly better by season-long efficiency but dealing with fatigue and key health uncertainty while Dallas is trending up and getting plus money, I like Mavericks Moneyline at +105 as a Grade B+ play, leaning into the combination of recent surge and underdog value. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 20/12/2025 09:38

Philadelphia’s offense just ran through a red-hot Tyrese Maxey in New York, but with Embiid, Oubre, and Watford all recently sidelined and the team flying home for a back-to-back, their scoring profile skews more half-court and jump-shot heavy than when they were fully intact. Dallas has leaned into a faster, rim-attacking style behind Flagg and Davis during a 6-2 surge and has been involved in several recent overs, but the Sixers have played to the under in most of their latest outings, and tonight’s 227.5 total sits above what you’d expect in a game where one side is tired and both are missing or managing key creators. Their last meeting got to 234 points with peak Embiid-Maxey production, yet with Irving out, Embiid still at less than 100%, and Nick Nurse likely to lean on length and defensive versatility to drag the pace down, I’ll take Under 227.5 at -110 as a Grade B play, banking on fatigue and missing firepower to shave a few possessions and buckets off the scoreboard. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 20/12/2025 09:38

Joel Embiid’s 29-11-10 masterpiece and Maxey’s 33-and-13 effort were barely enough for a two-point Sixers win over Dallas here in February, a night where the Mavericks still covered as road underdogs, and that history matters now that the spread is again a short number with the Sixers facing more injury and scheduling noise. Dallas has gone 6-2 straight up and strong against the spread lately with Davis stabilizing the interior and Flagg emerging as a primary scorer, while Philadelphia’s form has been spottier, its wing depth thinned by Oubre and Watford being out, and its franchise center navigating illness and knee management on a back-to-back. In a matchup that profiles as another one- or two-possession game, I prefer grabbing the points with Mavericks +1.5 at -110, grading it A- thanks to Dallas’ current momentum, the Sixers’ fatigue and health concerns, and the added cushion of the spread versus a near coin-flip moneyline. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 20/12/2025 09:38