Stars vs Wild

Jason Robertson and Mikko Rantanen lead a Stars group that rolls into St. Paul on an 11-game point streak (9-0-2) and a 21-5-5 start, while the Wild have cooled off to 1-4 in their last five despite a solid 16-9-5 record overall. Even with Dallas missing Tyler Seguin and depth defender Ilya Lyubushkin, the current ESPN rosters still leave the Stars icing a deeper and healthier forward mix than Minnesota, which is down Marco Rossi and Marcus Foligno with Mats Zuccarello and Jake Middleton nursing knocks. Jake Oettinger has never lost to the Wild in regulation and owns a dominant record against them, and Dallas has been unbeaten in regulation in the last 15 head-to-head meetings, a stretch that already includes this season’s 5-2 home win where their power play and depth scoring carried the night. Add in Dallas’ clear statistical edge (3.42 goals per game with a top-tier power play and top-10 penalty kill versus Minnesota’s more modest 2.73 goals per game and middling special teams) and the -140 moneyline still feels a bit short for the road favorite. I’m backing Dallas on the moneyline at -140 and grading it an A- for combining high win probability with a still-reasonable price. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 11/12/2025 09:50am

With Dallas riding that 11-game point streak and Minnesota stumbling through a 1-4 stretch, the 5.5 total starts from the context of one surging attack and one slumping but still capable offense. The Stars are averaging 3.42 goals per game and operating at roughly a 32 percent clip on the power play, and even with the Wild sitting at only 2.73 goals per game, they’ve still got Kirill Kaprizov, Matt Boldy and Joel Eriksson Ek driving a top-half power play that can punish penalties in bunches. Injuries have thinned Minnesota’s forward depth — Rossi and Foligno on injured reserve and question marks around Zuccarello — and that has pushed them toward some uglier defensive nights recently, which is a concern against a Stars team that already put five past them in October. At the same time, Jesper Wallstedt and Filip Gustavsson have raised the Wild’s goaltending ceiling and Oettinger has been lights out in this matchup, so there is non-trivial risk of a tighter, goalie-driven scoreline. Overall, though, the offensive profiles, special-teams mismatch and recent 5-2 meeting tilt me toward Over 5.5 at -125, which I’ll grade a B: a solid but not premium edge given the quality in both creases. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 11/12/2025 09:50am

For the puckline, Dallas’ form and scoring margin make the aggressive side interesting: they’re running a +0.9 goal differential per game (3.42 for, 2.52 against) during this 21-5-5 start, and they enter on that 11-game point streak, while Minnesota has dropped four of its last five and is leaning heavily on its top line. The Wild injury list — Rossi, Foligno and Vinnie Hinostroza on injured reserve plus day-to-day tags for Zuccarello and Middleton — leaves Kaprizov and Boldy carrying a big load against a Stars lineup that still rolls three scoring lines and multiple power-play weapons even without Seguin. Historically this matchup has tilted toward Dallas not just straight up but often by margin, with last spring’s 3-2 Wild overtime win more the exception than the rule in a run that includes October’s 5-2 Stars victory and a long Dallas point streak in the series. In a low-ish total game on the road there is always real risk of a one-goal sweat, but the combination of Oettinger’s dominance versus Minnesota, the Wild’s banged-up depth and the Stars’ ability to pile on late with their power play nudges me onto Stars -1.5 at 180. I’ll grade this puckline as a B-, reflecting worthwhile upside at that price but a significantly higher chance of a tight divisional scoreline spoiling the cover. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 11/12/2025 09:50am