NFL

Cowboys vs Raiders

Bankroll in the balance beneath the Vegas lights.

Dallas Cowboys

DAL (3-5) VS LV (2-7)

November 17, 2025 | 8:15 PM ET | Allegiant Stadium, Las Vegas NV

Las Vegas Raiders
Moneyline Pick - Dallas Cowboys (-192): B

Dallas enters this matchup with steadier underlying metrics than its recent results imply, leaning on a structured passing game and a defense that thrives indoors where conditions flatten variance. Las Vegas continues to battle offensive inconsistency, producing limited explosive plays and struggling to sustain drives against disciplined fronts. With Dallas coming off extra rest and integrating a more balanced approach, the matchup projects toward controlled possession and field-position advantages that support this prediction. The road environment poses challenges, but broader efficiency trends and red-zone reliability tilt this pick toward the visitors at a manageable number, especially against an opponent still searching for rhythm on key downs.

From a conversational angle, this feels like a spot where backing the steadier operation makes sense. Dallas typically leans on a measured tempo that travels well, while Las Vegas has shown difficulty responding once forced into long-field situations. Indoors, both teams can open the playbook, yet it’s the visitors who show a clearer blueprint for sustaining offense without requiring outlier plays. With the home side’s recent scoring profile remaining volatile, siding with the more complete roster fits naturally with the original bet, offering a blend of probability and comfort without stretching for unnecessary value.

This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

Over/Under Pick - Under 51, (-123): B-

Dallas enters this matchup with an offensive profile that has leaned more on efficiency than explosiveness, and that usually translates to measured tempo indoors. Recent trends from both sides show extended drives rather than quick-strike production, and neither offense has consistently converted red-zone trips into touchdowns. Las Vegas’ conservative approach and stronger defensive pressure up front have contributed to lower-scoring environments, while Dallas’ passing rhythm has emphasized chain-moving precision over vertical shots. Those broader tendencies frame this prediction toward a more controlled total, making the Under an appealing pick for a disciplined bet.

From a casual angle, this feels like a game where long possessions and situational defense dictate flow rather than a back-and-forth shootout. Neither team has shown the kind of scoring ceiling needed to surge past a lofty number, and reliable kicking indoors only increases the likelihood of drives stalling short of the goal line. Las Vegas’ approach under its current staff and Dallas’ steady, methodical pace both steer the game toward modest scoring swings. Re-using the same prediction, leaning Under fits the way these teams are currently built and avoids banking on sudden offensive emergence.

This prediction gets a B- grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

Spread Pick - Dallas Cowboys, -4 (-110): B

Dallas enters this matchup with steadier underlying efficiency than the raw scores from recent weeks suggest, particularly in its short-area passing concepts and defensive pressure rate. Indoors, where execution usually outweighs volatility, the matchup leans toward a controlled, methodical approach that plays into the visitors’ strengths. Las Vegas has struggled to sustain protection against aggressive fronts and continues to allow elevated completion rates that extend drives. With Dallas generating consistent pocket movement and leveraging a balanced approach on early downs, the flow of play supports a prediction that the road side can create enough separation to justify the modest spread, making them the logical pick at this number for a structured bet.

Casually, this feels like one of those games where trusting the team with the clearer identity makes sense. Dallas has shown an ability to capitalize on extra possessions when facing opponents who struggle to finish drives, and that profile matches well here. The Raiders can muddy up tempo, but their inconsistency moving the ball and tendency to settle for shorter gains often leave the door open for a late push by a more efficient offense. In a matchup shaped by situational football and field-position wins, leaning with Dallas to finish ahead by more than a field goal fits both logic and comfort.

This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

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