Mavericks vs Clippers

James Harden and the Clippers get a severely shorthanded Mavericks group on the second night of a back-to-back, with Dallas missing Anthony Davis, Dereck Lively II, Dante Exum and still awaiting Kyrie Irving’s return, leaving P.J. Washington and D’Angelo Russell to carry a 5-15 team stuck in a three-game skid. Meanwhile, Harden is averaging 27.6 points and 8.6 assists for a Clippers offense scoring 111.9 per night, and he just hung a 41-14-11 triple-double in a 133-127 double-OT win over these same Mavs, extending a long history of strong performances against Dallas. With both teams on losing streaks but LA healthier at the top of the roster, at home, and already having proven this matchup favors Harden and Ivica Zubac inside, Clippers -260 is a high-probability play with limited but still acceptable value, worthy of a B+ grade. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 29/11/2025 09:49am

The Mavericks’ offense, now reliant on Washington, Russell and rookie Cooper Flagg with Davis sitting for injury management and Kyrie still out, has averaged just 110.0 points per game and now has to score on tired legs after last night’s 129-119 loss to the Lakers, where they already showed defensive slippage late. The Clippers have been playing to totals around this number, but their 111.9 points per game and Harden-centric creation are now facing a Dallas team that’s big-man depleted yet still rebounds reasonably well, which can slow pace and limit easy second chances in a standard four-quarter game. Given that the recent 133-127 Cup thriller between these teams needed double overtime to soar over, and both sides enter on three-game losing streaks likely to tighten rotations and defensive effort, Under 221 at -110 gets a B grade as a modest edge built on fatigue, injuries and a more deliberate half-court style than that last outlier suggests. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 29/11/2025 09:49am

Cooper Flagg and the Mavericks just saw Harden, Zubac and the Clippers overwhelm them 133-127 in double OT earlier this month and were blown out 135-104 by LA late last season, underlining how often Dallas’ perimeter defense and thin interior rotation get exposed in this matchup. With Davis and Lively both sidelined tonight, Dallas leans even more on smallish lineups and journeymen bigs, a tough recipe on the road against a Harden-led attack that’s averaging nearly 112 points and has already produced multiple double-digit wins when the three-point variance swings their way. Still, laying a full seven with a 5-14 Clippers team on its own three-game skid carries volatility, so while the matchup and recent history point toward LA having enough scoring and size to cover at home, Clippers -7 at -110 earns only a B- grade for balancing matchup edge against the risk of another late-game stall from an inconsistent group. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 29/11/2025 09:49am