NBA
Mavericks vs Pacers
Home underdogs in Indy look ready to bite back.

Dallas Mavericks
Mavericks (19-36) VS Pacers (15-42)
February 22, 2026 | 5:00 PM ET | Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN

Indiana Pacers

Moneyline Pick - Indiana Pacers (+105): B
Indiana staggers in on a two-game slide but faces a Dallas group riding a brutal 10-game losing streak and still missing Kyrie Irving for the season plus leading scorer Cooper Flagg, leaving a heavy shot-creation load on aging perimeter pieces and a thin playmaking core. The Pacers have their own questions with Pascal Siakam and Andrew Nembhard on the injury report, yet when relatively healthy they nearly stole the first meeting in Dallas behind Siakam’s strong scoring and the Nembhard backcourt’s control, suggesting their ceiling in this matchup is slightly higher than the Mavs’ current version. With both teams effectively on the fringes of the play-in picture and Indiana’s home crowd providing a lift against a 5-19 Dallas road team, the plus-money on the Pacers offers solid value even if late injury news can swing the edge either way, making this a B-grade play rather than something you unload the bankroll on. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 22/02/2026 09:47
Over/Under Pick - Over 232.5, (-110): B-
Dallas’ leaky defense on this 10-game skid, repeatedly giving up efficient nights on the road, combines with Indiana’s up-tempo guard play led by Tyrese Haliburton and multiple shooters to create another environment where stops could be optional for long stretches. Even with Cooper Flagg sidelined and several rotation pieces on both sides listed as game-time decisions, the Mavs still space the floor with Klay Thompson and Khris Middleton while the Pacers can attack downhill through Siakam and a deep guard room, profiles that have produced plenty of 240-plus combined outputs lately despite both teams losing more than they win. The previous meeting stayed lower-scoring, but with tired legs in both defenses, neither side protecting the rim especially well, and little incentive to grind out a half-court rock fight for two lottery-bound clubs, the Over gets a slight edge, though the already-inflated number and injury volatility hold this to a B- grade. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 22/02/2026 09:47
Spread Pick - Indiana Pacers, +2.5 (-120): B+
Pascal Siakam and the Pacers catching +2.5 at home against a Dallas team on a double-digit losing streak feels generous, especially after the first matchup between these rosters was decided by a single bucket and highlighted how thin the gap is when Indiana’s key pieces are upright. With Kyrie Irving done for the year and Cooper Flagg ruled out, the Mavs are asking role players like P.J. Washington and Tyus Jones to punch above their weight as primary engines on offense, which is a tough ask against Indiana’s versatile forward rotation and a backcourt that can exploit Dallas’ soft point-of-attack defense even if Nembhard or T.J. McConnell are limited. Given how often these versions of the Mavs and Pacers play one- or two-possession games, grabbing the home side with a cushion, in a matchup where both teams’ dwindling play-in hopes still add some late-game urgency, makes this spread look slightly stronger than the moneyline, worthy of a B+ grade. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 22/02/2026 09:47
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