Dallas Stars vs Edmonton Oilers

Dallas rolls into Edmonton with a 13-5-4 record, a 7-1-3 road mark, and wins in six of its last eight, while the Oilers are a volatile 10-9-5 side that just snapped a three-game winless stretch by capping a draining seven-game road trip with a 6-3 win in Florida. With Matt Duchene and Thomas Harley among the notable Stars injuries, they’re not at full strength, but the current roster still leans on a scorching Jason Robertson, Mikko Rantanen, and a penalty kill that has been elite over the last couple of weeks, plus Jake Oettinger stabilizing after that ugly Ducks loss. Edmonton’s active roster still boasts Connor McDavid, Leon Draisaitl and Evan Bouchard, but the Oilers are dealing with key absences up front (including Ryan Nugent-Hopkins) and a banged-up blue line, and they’ve allowed 87 goals through 24 games, compared to Dallas’ 62 against. Recent head-to-head history cuts both ways: McDavid and Draisaitl shredded Oettinger in last spring’s Western Final, yet Dallas has already stolen a 4-3 shootout in Edmonton this season and Robertson also burned the Oilers for a hat trick late last year, so it’s no longer a one-sided goaltending story. Given Dallas’ superior underlying goal differential, road form, and current offensive heater against an Oilers team still bleeding chances, I’m willing to fade the home favorite price and back the Stars moneyline at 118, grading it a B+ for combining solid win probability with plus-money value. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 25/11/2025 09:23am

The total at 6 looks aggressive on paper with Oettinger and Stuart Skinner in net, but the season profiles point to another track meet between these rosters: Dallas is sitting at 72 goals for and 62 against in 22 games, while Edmonton is at 74 for and 87 against in 24, combining for roughly 6.7 goals per game. The Oilers just finished a road swing where they gave up nine to Colorado, seven to Washington, and still played a 6-3 game in Florida, reflecting a defensive structure that breaks under pressure and a PK that’s been exposed, which is a bad mix against a Dallas power play driven by Robertson, Rantanen, and Roope Hintz. On the other side, the Stars’ recent stretch against the Islanders, Canadiens, Flyers, Ducks and Canucks shows they’re fully comfortable in high-event hockey, but the absence of Thomas Harley and several depth pieces has occasionally loosened their own blue line and forced Oettinger and Casey DeSmith into heavier workloads. Factor in the Oilers’ top-end shooting talent on home ice, first game back after a long trip (often a sloppy defensive spot), and the way McDavid and Draisaitl historically turn games against Dallas into multi-goal swings, and the Over 6 at -120 is my play, graded a B because the offensive matchup is strong but improved recent goaltending on both sides still leaves some risk of a 3-2 or 4-2 result. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 25/11/2025 09:23am

With the Oilers laying what effectively projects as -1.5 at around 180 on the other side, I prefer taking the Stars at +1.5 goals despite the hefty -220 price, leaning on Dallas’ profile as a team that rarely gets blown out and has already gone 7-1-3 on the road with only one multi-goal regulation loss away from home. Even acknowledging the Oilers’ dominant playoff series against Dallas last spring and their ability to put up crooked numbers when McDavid and Draisaitl catch a tired defense, this particular matchup features an Edmonton group missing Ryan Nugent-Hopkins and other depth pieces, plus injuries on the back end that put more minutes on Jake Walman and the rest of a defense that has struggled to limit chances. Dallas’ current roster, even without Duchene and Harley, still rolls three scoring lines, and with Robertson on a massive heater and Oettinger back in form behind a generally structured system, they’re well-equipped to keep this within a goal even if the home side ekes out a win. Because the probability of Dallas staying inside the number is quite high but the monetary return at -220 is modest, I grade Stars +1.5 as a B-, a solid but price-sensitive way to back their resilience in what projects as a tight game. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 25/11/2025 09:23am