NBA

Mavericks vs Celtics

Green giant looms in Boston, but the underdog still has a puncher’s chance.

Dallas Mavericks

Mavericks (21-39) VS Celtics (41-20)

March 6, 2026 | 7:00 PM ET | TD Garden, Boston, MA

Boston Celtics
Moneyline Pick - Boston Celtics (-1196): B
Boston’s moneyline sits at a massive -1196 for good reason, with the Celtics riding a three-game win streak, welcoming back Jayson Tatum from his Achilles rehab, and leaning on Jaylen Brown and Derrick White against a Mavericks team that’s dropped four straight and is without Kyrie Irving for the season while also missing frontcourt depth like Dereck Lively II and Marvin Bagley III. Even with rookie standout Cooper Flagg back from his midfoot sprain, Dallas’ recent skid, thin guard rotation, and the playoff urgency in Boston’s locker room make an outright upset on the road extremely unlikely, though the price offers minimal return unless used as a parlay anchor. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 06/03/2026 09:40
Over/Under Pick - Under 223.5 (-108): B+
Dallas’ offense has struggled during its current losing streak, especially without Irving to initiate and with Flagg likely still on a soft minutes ramp-up, while Boston’s defense—anchored by Neemias Queta inside and strong perimeter work from Brown and White—has quietly held opponents in check even as the Celtics push toward the top of the East. With Tatum expected to return but potentially facing a workload cap in his first game back, and the Celtics favored by 15 suggesting a blowout script that often leads to a slower fourth quarter and bench-heavy minutes, the Under 223.5 looks attractive in a matchup where one side defends consistently and the other is short on efficient creators. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 06/03/2026 09:40
Spread Pick - Dallas Mavericks, +15 (-108): C+
Dallas getting +15 points is a big number for a roster that still features veterans like Klay Thompson, Khris Middleton and Anthony Davis around Flagg, and in their earlier meeting this season the Celtics won by 10 on the road, suggesting some historical resistance from this matchup even before accounting for Tatum’s rust and likely minutes restriction. Boston’s three-game heater, strong home form and superior depth absolutely support the favorite, but with the Mavericks desperate to stop their slide, leaning on size to attack the paint against Queta and Vucevic, and having at least some track record of hanging around versus the Celtics, there’s enough room for a backdoor cover to justify a small play on the dog plus the points despite the volatility. Odds and availability are subject to change. This bet was made at 06/03/2026 09:40
Looking for fun without commitment? Spin, play, and explore free games inside Piggy Arcade today.
Share this post

Get the best odds on this prediction

Use our Live Odds Tool to get the best price on your favourite picks