MLB

White Sox vs Nationals

Two cellar-dwellers, one last shot to cash in

Chicago White Sox

White Sox (59-101) VS Nationals (65-95)

28 Sep 2025 | 3:05 PM ET | Nationals Park, Washington DC

Washington Nationals
Moneyline Pick - Washington Nationals (-115): B-

Washington enters this matchup with the steadier overall profile, particularly at home, where their record has been serviceable compared to Chicago’s struggles on the road. The Nationals’ rotation has recently provided more stability, and their lineup, though not explosive, has been more reliable in generating consistent traffic. Chicago, dealing with a thinned-out order and lingering health issues, faces an uphill climb to string together offense in support of a shaky bullpen. With neither team playing for postseason stakes, the healthier roster and modest matchup edge at home steer this pick toward Washington on the moneyline.

From a betting perspective, siding with the Nationals looks like the safer play, given Chicago’s poor track record away from home and reduced depth. While the price won’t bring dramatic value, the prediction is anchored in comparative stability—Washington’s pitching form and lineup continuity outweighing Chicago’s vulnerabilities. For a late-season spot without playoff implications, this bet leans on fundamentals rather than momentum, and the edge still rests with the hosts.

This prediction gets a B- grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 09/28/2025 at 9:40am

Over/Under Pick - Under 8.5 (+100): B

Washington’s starter has closed the season strong, and he faces an opposing arm with strikeout stuff that can quiet bats even in hitter-friendly counts. Both lineups have underperformed this month, ranking among the league’s weakest in generating consistent offense, which further supports the likelihood of a controlled game. Recent bullpen improvement on each side adds stability in the late innings, limiting the chance of a sudden scoring burst. Altogether, the conditions point more toward run suppression than fireworks, making this pick a play on the Under.

From a betting standpoint, the angle holds value because the market may be overestimating offensive output between two struggling clubs. Injuries to key power options reduce the threat of late momentum swings, while the trend of sharper relief pitching lowers volatility. In a matchup where neither side is built to sustain rallies, trusting the pitchers to dictate tempo feels like the smarter bet.

This prediction gets a B grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 09/28/2025 at 9:41am

Spread Pick - Chicago White Sox, -1.5 (+143): C+

Washington may hold the more stable profile overall, but the run line on Chicago brings intriguing upside for bettors chasing value. The White Sox have a starter capable of working deep into games when properly rested, which offers a path to minimizing bullpen exposure. Washington, meanwhile, has been vulnerable against left-handed pitching and has often struggled to keep games close in those situations. With the Nationals’ relief corps also showing susceptibility to the long ball, there’s a realistic scenario where late swings tilt the margin wider than expected. This pick frames Chicago as the higher-risk, higher-reward option.

From a betting perspective, the Nationals’ moneyline remains the safer lean, but grabbing the White Sox with a plus-price run line holds appeal for those willing to accept volatility. The underlying matchup—stability from the starter, potential for a timely extra-base hit, and Washington’s shaky recent bullpen metrics—creates enough justification for the gamble. While not the most reliable angle, the odds sweeten the case for considering the underdog spread.

This prediction gets a C+ grade. Odds and availability subject to change. Follow Shurzy on Instagram and Tiktok for more expert picks.

This bet was made on 09/28/2025 at 9:10am

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